Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and commercial sources like AccuWeather project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 8 at 16–18°C, reflecting a cooling trend after warmer days earlier in the week (highs near 27°C on April 5), with trader sentiment closely split across these outcomes due to model spread and inherent forecast uncertainty. Key differentiators include persistent cloud cover, a 66–90% chance of afternoon showers suppressing daytime heating, and southeasterly winds advecting moist air that limits surface warming under the subtropical monsoon regime. April climatology averages highs of 18–20°C, but current guidance emphasizes overcast conditions capping peaks; watch for China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours, which could refine probabilities as resolution nears via official observations at ZSPD airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 8?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 8?
17°C 19%
18°C 19%
16°C 17%
19°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 abr 2026
13°C or below
2%
14°C
10%
15°C
14%
16°C
17%
17°C
19%
18°C
19%
19°C
15%
20°C
11%
21°C
13%
22°C
9%
23°C or higher
4%
17°C 19%
18°C 19%
16°C 17%
19°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 abr 2026
13°C or below
$498 Vol.
2%
14°C
$10 Vol.
10%
15°C
$6 Vol.
14%
16°C
$0 Vol.
17%
17°C
$0 Vol.
19%
18°C
$0 Vol.
19%
19°C
$13 Vol.
15%
20°C
$0 Vol.
11%
21°C
$2 Vol.
13%
22°C
$5 Vol.
9%
23°C or higher
$54 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and commercial sources like AccuWeather project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 8 at 16–18°C, reflecting a cooling trend after warmer days earlier in the week (highs near 27°C on April 5), with trader sentiment closely split across these outcomes due to model spread and inherent forecast uncertainty. Key differentiators include persistent cloud cover, a 66–90% chance of afternoon showers suppressing daytime heating, and southeasterly winds advecting moist air that limits surface warming under the subtropical monsoon regime. April climatology averages highs of 18–20°C, but current guidance emphasizes overcast conditions capping peaks; watch for China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours, which could refine probabilities as resolution nears via official observations at ZSPD airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$572Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and commercial sources like AccuWeather project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 8 at 16–18°C, reflecting a cooling trend after warmer days earlier in the week (highs near 27°C on April 5), with trader sentiment closely split across these outcomes due to model spread and inherent forecast uncertainty. Key differentiators include persistent cloud cover, a 66–90% chance of afternoon showers suppressing daytime heating, and southeasterly winds advecting moist air that limits surface warming under the subtropical monsoon regime. April climatology averages highs of 18–20°C, but current guidance emphasizes overcast conditions capping peaks; watch for China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours, which could refine probabilities as resolution nears via official observations at ZSPD airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$572Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS, ECMWF, and commercial sources like AccuWeather project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 8 at 16–18°C, reflecting a cooling trend after warmer days earlier in the week (highs near 27°C on April 5), with trader sentiment closely split across these outcomes due to model spread and inherent forecast uncertainty. Key differentiators include persistent cloud cover, a 66–90% chance of afternoon showers suppressing daytime heating, and southeasterly winds advecting moist air that limits surface warming under the subtropical monsoon regime. April climatology averages highs of 18–20°C, but current guidance emphasizes overcast conditions capping peaks; watch for China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours, which could refine probabilities as resolution nears via official observations at ZSPD airport.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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