The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 4 at 21-24°C under cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms from an approaching frontal system, driving trader consensus toward this narrow range where 24°C leads at 29.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 23°C (23.5%) and 25°C (20.5%). Persistent cloud cover will suppress solar insolation and convective heating, while intermittent precipitation enhances evaporative cooling, though brief clearings or delayed frontal arrival could push toward 25°C; conversely, widespread rain favors 23°C or below. This reflects short-range model consensus amid April's typical highs near 24°C, with intraday CWA observations likely to sharpen odds before resolution based on official station maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 4?
24°C 30%
23°C 24%
25°C 21%
26°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 abr 2026
22°C or below
4%
23°C
24%
24°C
30%
25°C
21%
26°C
15%
27°C
8%
28°C
5%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
24°C 30%
23°C 24%
25°C 21%
26°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 abr 2026
22°C or below
$1,049 Vol.
4%
23°C
$661 Vol.
24%
24°C
$854 Vol.
30%
25°C
$729 Vol.
21%
26°C
$542 Vol.
15%
27°C
$496 Vol.
8%
28°C
$550 Vol.
5%
29°C
$268 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$394 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$589 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$1,767 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 4 at 21-24°C under cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms from an approaching frontal system, driving trader consensus toward this narrow range where 24°C leads at 29.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 23°C (23.5%) and 25°C (20.5%). Persistent cloud cover will suppress solar insolation and convective heating, while intermittent precipitation enhances evaporative cooling, though brief clearings or delayed frontal arrival could push toward 25°C; conversely, widespread rain favors 23°C or below. This reflects short-range model consensus amid April's typical highs near 24°C, with intraday CWA observations likely to sharpen odds before resolution based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Volumen
$7,900Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 4 at 21-24°C under cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms from an approaching frontal system, driving trader consensus toward this narrow range where 24°C leads at 29.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 23°C (23.5%) and 25°C (20.5%). Persistent cloud cover will suppress solar insolation and convective heating, while intermittent precipitation enhances evaporative cooling, though brief clearings or delayed frontal arrival could push toward 25°C; conversely, widespread rain favors 23°C or below. This reflects short-range model consensus amid April's typical highs near 24°C, with intraday CWA observations likely to sharpen odds before resolution based on official station maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,900Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 4 at 21-24°C under cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms from an approaching frontal system, driving trader consensus toward this narrow range where 24°C leads at 29.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 23°C (23.5%) and 25°C (20.5%). Persistent cloud cover will suppress solar insolation and convective heating, while intermittent precipitation enhances evaporative cooling, though brief clearings or delayed frontal arrival could push toward 25°C; conversely, widespread rain favors 23°C or below. This reflects short-range model consensus amid April's typical highs near 24°C, with intraday CWA observations likely to sharpen odds before resolution based on official station maxima.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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