Met Office forecasts as of April 3 indicate a sunny high of 19°C for London on April 7, with light winds allowing solar heating after a blustery, overcast weekend featuring highs of 12-16°C. This warming trend stems from a developing high-pressure ridge over the UK, boosting trader odds for 19-21°C outcomes near 20% each. However, medium-range model ensembles like ECMWF show spread due to potential cloud intrusions or jet stream shifts, elevating the 25.5% implied probability for 16°C or below—consistent with April climatology averaging 13°C highs at Heathrow. New observational data and forecast updates through April 5-6 will refine resolution criteria tied to official Heathrow measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 7 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 7 de abril?
18°C 24%
20°C 21%
21°C 19%
22°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
16°C o menos
5%
17°C
14%
18°C
24%
19 °C
17%
20°C
21%
21°C
18%
22°C
11%
23°C
7%
24°C
7%
25°C
2%
26°C o más
1%
18°C 24%
20°C 21%
21°C 19%
22°C 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 abr 2026
16°C o menos
$137 Vol.
5%
17°C
$53 Vol.
14%
18°C
$15 Vol.
24%
19 °C
$0 Vol.
17%
20°C
$0 Vol.
21%
21°C
$5 Vol.
18%
22°C
$6 Vol.
11%
23°C
$0 Vol.
7%
24°C
$15 Vol.
7%
25°C
$15 Vol.
2%
26°C o más
$418 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office forecasts as of April 3 indicate a sunny high of 19°C for London on April 7, with light winds allowing solar heating after a blustery, overcast weekend featuring highs of 12-16°C. This warming trend stems from a developing high-pressure ridge over the UK, boosting trader odds for 19-21°C outcomes near 20% each. However, medium-range model ensembles like ECMWF show spread due to potential cloud intrusions or jet stream shifts, elevating the 25.5% implied probability for 16°C or below—consistent with April climatology averaging 13°C highs at Heathrow. New observational data and forecast updates through April 5-6 will refine resolution criteria tied to official Heathrow measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volumen
$665Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Met Office forecasts as of April 3 indicate a sunny high of 19°C for London on April 7, with light winds allowing solar heating after a blustery, overcast weekend featuring highs of 12-16°C. This warming trend stems from a developing high-pressure ridge over the UK, boosting trader odds for 19-21°C outcomes near 20% each. However, medium-range model ensembles like ECMWF show spread due to potential cloud intrusions or jet stream shifts, elevating the 25.5% implied probability for 16°C or below—consistent with April climatology averaging 13°C highs at Heathrow. New observational data and forecast updates through April 5-6 will refine resolution criteria tied to official Heathrow measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$665Fecha de finalización
7 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 3, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office forecasts as of April 3 indicate a sunny high of 19°C for London on April 7, with light winds allowing solar heating after a blustery, overcast weekend featuring highs of 12-16°C. This warming trend stems from a developing high-pressure ridge over the UK, boosting trader odds for 19-21°C outcomes near 20% each. However, medium-range model ensembles like ECMWF show spread due to potential cloud intrusions or jet stream shifts, elevating the 25.5% implied probability for 16°C or below—consistent with April climatology averaging 13°C highs at Heathrow. New observational data and forecast updates through April 5-6 will refine resolution criteria tied to official Heathrow measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes