Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering in the latest GFS and ECMWF forecast ensembles, implying Los Angeles highs of 72-77°F on April 5 with a modest spread that keeps probabilities closely matched across these bins at 19-23%. This positioning stems from a persistent upper-level ridge fostering mild above-normal warmth—April averages hover near 71°F downtown—tempered by persistent marine layer stratus clouds and variable onshore winds limiting peak boundary layer mixing. Model disagreements on morning cloud clearance and low-level wind speeds differentiate warmer 76-79°F scenarios from cooler 72-75°F outcomes. National Weather Service updates and new 12Z ensembles expected April 4 may resolve lingering uncertainty in this short-fuse forecast.