Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued Friday afternoon, projects a high of 3°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 6 amid a post-Easter cold snap following heavy weekend rainfall of 25-50 mm from a Colorado low, with cloudy skies and 30% chance of flurries or showers capping temperatures. However, the Canadian GEM model indicates 5-7°C highs, creating ensemble spread reflected in trader consensus favoring 6°C (26% implied probability), 5°C (21%), and 7°C (18%). Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon clearing, cold air advection strength, and precipitation impacts on boundary layer mixing—well below the early April climatological average of 9-10°C. Updated forecasts over the weekend will refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on April 6?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 6?
6°C 28%
7°C 22%
5°C 19%
4°C 11%
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
5%
3°C
6%
4°C
11%
5°C
19%
6°C
28%
7°C
22%
8°C
10%
9°C
5%
10°C or higher
7%
6°C 28%
7°C 22%
5°C 19%
4°C 11%
0°C or below
<1%
1°C
1%
2°C
5%
3°C
6%
4°C
11%
5°C
19%
6°C
28%
7°C
22%
8°C
10%
9°C
5%
10°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada's latest forecast, issued Friday afternoon, projects a high of 3°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 6 amid a post-Easter cold snap following heavy weekend rainfall of 25-50 mm from a Colorado low, with cloudy skies and 30% chance of flurries or showers capping temperatures. However, the Canadian GEM model indicates 5-7°C highs, creating ensemble spread reflected in trader consensus favoring 6°C (26% implied probability), 5°C (21%), and 7°C (18%). Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence versus potential afternoon clearing, cold air advection strength, and precipitation impacts on boundary layer mixing—well below the early April climatological average of 9-10°C. Updated forecasts over the weekend will refine these uncertainties ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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