ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, as referenced by ARPA Lombardia, drive closely matched trader consensus for Milan's highest temperature on April 8 around 23-26°C, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy delivering clear skies and southerly flows since early April. This setup has boosted daytime highs above seasonal norms of 18°C, with recent model runs showing ensemble means near 25°C but spreads of 2-3°C due to uncertainties in cloud cover evolution and exact ridge positioning. Differentiating factors include potential for increased insolation under sunnier scenarios versus light haze capping peaks; daily ARPA bulletins and new 00Z/12Z model updates through April 7 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official Linate Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on April 8?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 8?
23°C 26%
24°C 21%
25°C 11%
26°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 abr 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
6%
22°C
9%
23°C
26%
24°C
21%
25°C
11%
26°C
16%
27°C
10%
28°C or higher
6%
23°C 26%
24°C 21%
25°C 11%
26°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
8 abr 2026
18°C or below
$323 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
6%
21°C
$0 Vol.
6%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C
$10 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
21%
25°C
$0 Vol.
11%
26°C
$28 Vol.
16%
27°C
$0 Vol.
10%
28°C or higher
$16 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, as referenced by ARPA Lombardia, drive closely matched trader consensus for Milan's highest temperature on April 8 around 23-26°C, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy delivering clear skies and southerly flows since early April. This setup has boosted daytime highs above seasonal norms of 18°C, with recent model runs showing ensemble means near 25°C but spreads of 2-3°C due to uncertainties in cloud cover evolution and exact ridge positioning. Differentiating factors include potential for increased insolation under sunnier scenarios versus light haze capping peaks; daily ARPA bulletins and new 00Z/12Z model updates through April 7 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official Linate Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$298Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, as referenced by ARPA Lombardia, drive closely matched trader consensus for Milan's highest temperature on April 8 around 23-26°C, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy delivering clear skies and southerly flows since early April. This setup has boosted daytime highs above seasonal norms of 18°C, with recent model runs showing ensemble means near 25°C but spreads of 2-3°C due to uncertainties in cloud cover evolution and exact ridge positioning. Differentiating factors include potential for increased insolation under sunnier scenarios versus light haze capping peaks; daily ARPA bulletins and new 00Z/12Z model updates through April 7 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official Linate Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$298Fecha de finalización
8 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, as referenced by ARPA Lombardia, drive closely matched trader consensus for Milan's highest temperature on April 8 around 23-26°C, fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge over northern Italy delivering clear skies and southerly flows since early April. This setup has boosted daytime highs above seasonal norms of 18°C, with recent model runs showing ensemble means near 25°C but spreads of 2-3°C due to uncertainties in cloud cover evolution and exact ridge positioning. Differentiating factors include potential for increased insolation under sunnier scenarios versus light haze capping peaks; daily ARPA bulletins and new 00Z/12Z model updates through April 7 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official Linate Airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes