Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Milan's highest temperature on April 6, with implied odds clustering around 22–24°C as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) ensembles show peak 2-meter temperatures in this range amid transitioning weather patterns. A recent double low-pressure vortex over Italy brought rain and cooler temperatures through Easter on April 5, but latest runs project clearing skies and mild southerly flow post-cold spell, boosting highs above early-April climatological averages of 16–18°C at Milan Linate station. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on residual cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification, with new ECMWF updates at 00Z/12Z daily potentially shifting the balance before resolution based on official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 6 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Milán el 6 de abril?
23°C 27%
24°C 22%
22°C 17%
25°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
17°C o menos
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
5%
20°C
2%
21°C
8%
22°C
17%
23°C
27%
24°C
22%
25°C
13%
26°C
10%
27°C o más
11%
23°C 27%
24°C 22%
22°C 17%
25°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
17°C o menos
$2,032 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$774 Vol.
2%
19°C
$254 Vol.
5%
20°C
$131 Vol.
2%
21°C
$204 Vol.
8%
22°C
$214 Vol.
17%
23°C
$229 Vol.
27%
24°C
$151 Vol.
22%
25°C
$139 Vol.
13%
26°C
$182 Vol.
10%
27°C o más
$219 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Milan's highest temperature on April 6, with implied odds clustering around 22–24°C as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) ensembles show peak 2-meter temperatures in this range amid transitioning weather patterns. A recent double low-pressure vortex over Italy brought rain and cooler temperatures through Easter on April 5, but latest runs project clearing skies and mild southerly flow post-cold spell, boosting highs above early-April climatological averages of 16–18°C at Milan Linate station. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on residual cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification, with new ECMWF updates at 00Z/12Z daily potentially shifting the balance before resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Volumen
$4,488Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Milan's highest temperature on April 6, with implied odds clustering around 22–24°C as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) ensembles show peak 2-meter temperatures in this range amid transitioning weather patterns. A recent double low-pressure vortex over Italy brought rain and cooler temperatures through Easter on April 5, but latest runs project clearing skies and mild southerly flow post-cold spell, boosting highs above early-April climatological averages of 16–18°C at Milan Linate station. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on residual cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification, with new ECMWF updates at 00Z/12Z daily potentially shifting the balance before resolution based on official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,488Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Milan's highest temperature on April 6, with implied odds clustering around 22–24°C as the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) ensembles show peak 2-meter temperatures in this range amid transitioning weather patterns. A recent double low-pressure vortex over Italy brought rain and cooler temperatures through Easter on April 5, but latest runs project clearing skies and mild southerly flow post-cold spell, boosting highs above early-April climatological averages of 16–18°C at Milan Linate station. Differentiating factors include model disagreements on residual cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat island amplification, with new ECMWF updates at 00Z/12Z daily potentially shifting the balance before resolution based on official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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