Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan on April 5 project maximum temperatures clustering around 21–24°C under mild spring conditions, with high-pressure influence fostering above-average warmth—about 3–5°C warmer than the typical April high of 17–19°C—driving trader consensus toward 22°C and 23°C as co-leaders. The razor-thin margin reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, including ensemble spread from differing representations of boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover variability, and exact ridge positioning aloft; some members peak at 22°C while others nudge toward 23°C amid low wind shear. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but new 12-hourly model updates from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts could refine odds before resolution based on official Milan station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on April 5?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 5?
23°C 31%
22°C 27%
24°C 12%
25°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
9%
22°C
27%
23°C
31%
24°C
12%
25°C
10%
26°C or higher
6%
23°C 31%
22°C 27%
24°C 12%
25°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
16°C or below
$1,338 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,254 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$700 Vol.
1%
19°C
$163 Vol.
3%
20°C
$144 Vol.
8%
21°C
$142 Vol.
9%
22°C
$286 Vol.
27%
23°C
$212 Vol.
31%
24°C
$119 Vol.
12%
25°C
$192 Vol.
10%
26°C or higher
$206 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan on April 5 project maximum temperatures clustering around 21–24°C under mild spring conditions, with high-pressure influence fostering above-average warmth—about 3–5°C warmer than the typical April high of 17–19°C—driving trader consensus toward 22°C and 23°C as co-leaders. The razor-thin margin reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, including ensemble spread from differing representations of boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover variability, and exact ridge positioning aloft; some members peak at 22°C while others nudge toward 23°C amid low wind shear. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but new 12-hourly model updates from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts could refine odds before resolution based on official Milan station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Volumen
$4,743Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan on April 5 project maximum temperatures clustering around 21–24°C under mild spring conditions, with high-pressure influence fostering above-average warmth—about 3–5°C warmer than the typical April high of 17–19°C—driving trader consensus toward 22°C and 23°C as co-leaders. The razor-thin margin reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, including ensemble spread from differing representations of boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover variability, and exact ridge positioning aloft; some members peak at 22°C while others nudge toward 23°C amid low wind shear. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but new 12-hourly model updates from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts could refine odds before resolution based on official Milan station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,743Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan on April 5 project maximum temperatures clustering around 21–24°C under mild spring conditions, with high-pressure influence fostering above-average warmth—about 3–5°C warmer than the typical April high of 17–19°C—driving trader consensus toward 22°C and 23°C as co-leaders. The razor-thin margin reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty, including ensemble spread from differing representations of boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover variability, and exact ridge positioning aloft; some members peak at 22°C while others nudge toward 23°C amid low wind shear. No major developments in the past 48 hours, but new 12-hourly model updates from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts could refine odds before resolution based on official Milan station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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