Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on April 4 near 21°C at Malpensa Airport, under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, strong insolation, and light ESE winds around 9 km/h. This setup, warmer than the early-April climatological average of 16–18°C, drives trader consensus splitting closely between 21°C and 22°C, with 23°C+ viable in divergent model runs showing enhanced subsidence and minimal boundary layer mixing for greater surface heating. Italian services like 3B Meteo align at 22°C maximum with calm conditions, but inherent short-range uncertainty in cloud timing and wind shear keeps probabilities tight; watch overnight 00Z updates and morning observations for shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on April 4?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 4?
22°C 34%
21°C 33%
23°C or higher 27%
20°C 9%
$16,117 Vol.
$16,117 Vol.
4 abr 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
9%
21°C
33%
22°C
34%
23°C or higher
27%
22°C 34%
21°C 33%
23°C or higher 27%
20°C 9%
$16,117 Vol.
$16,117 Vol.
4 abr 2026
13°C or below
$2,389 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,295 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,355 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,764 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,184 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,383 Vol.
3%
19°C
$1,256 Vol.
3%
20°C
$1,070 Vol.
9%
21°C
$1,149 Vol.
33%
22°C
$914 Vol.
34%
23°C or higher
$1,359 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on April 4 near 21°C at Malpensa Airport, under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, strong insolation, and light ESE winds around 9 km/h. This setup, warmer than the early-April climatological average of 16–18°C, drives trader consensus splitting closely between 21°C and 22°C, with 23°C+ viable in divergent model runs showing enhanced subsidence and minimal boundary layer mixing for greater surface heating. Italian services like 3B Meteo align at 22°C maximum with calm conditions, but inherent short-range uncertainty in cloud timing and wind shear keeps probabilities tight; watch overnight 00Z updates and morning observations for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Volumen
$16,117Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on April 4 near 21°C at Malpensa Airport, under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, strong insolation, and light ESE winds around 9 km/h. This setup, warmer than the early-April climatological average of 16–18°C, drives trader consensus splitting closely between 21°C and 22°C, with 23°C+ viable in divergent model runs showing enhanced subsidence and minimal boundary layer mixing for greater surface heating. Italian services like 3B Meteo align at 22°C maximum with calm conditions, but inherent short-range uncertainty in cloud timing and wind shear keeps probabilities tight; watch overnight 00Z updates and morning observations for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,117Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:01 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Milan's highest temperature on April 4 near 21°C at Malpensa Airport, under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, strong insolation, and light ESE winds around 9 km/h. This setup, warmer than the early-April climatological average of 16–18°C, drives trader consensus splitting closely between 21°C and 22°C, with 23°C+ viable in divergent model runs showing enhanced subsidence and minimal boundary layer mixing for greater surface heating. Italian services like 3B Meteo align at 22°C maximum with calm conditions, but inherent short-range uncertainty in cloud timing and wind shear keeps probabilities tight; watch overnight 00Z updates and morning observations for shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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