Latest forecasts from the Italian Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high near 21°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving trader consensus to 53% implied probability for that outcome, with 30.5% on 22°C. This reflects a high-pressure ridge delivering mild Mediterranean air masses after recent cold snaps, heavy rains, and unseasonal snow in northern Italy, fostering clear skies, light winds, and efficient solar heating above early April climatological norms of 16–18°C. Ensemble spread accounts for minor uncertainty from possible afternoon cumulus development or slight model divergences, with real-time Wunderground observations from the LIMC station providing definitive data by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 3?
21°C 55%
22°C 31%
23°C or higher 12.5%
20°C 6%
$34,184 Vol.
$34,184 Vol.
3 abr 2026
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
55%
22°C
31%
23°C or higher
13%
21°C 55%
22°C 31%
23°C or higher 12.5%
20°C 6%
$34,184 Vol.
$34,184 Vol.
3 abr 2026
14°C
$1,652 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$3,866 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,039 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,124 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,995 Vol.
1%
19°C
$4,156 Vol.
2%
20°C
$2,546 Vol.
6%
21°C
$2,862 Vol.
55%
22°C
$2,428 Vol.
31%
23°C or higher
$5,591 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Italian Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high near 21°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving trader consensus to 53% implied probability for that outcome, with 30.5% on 22°C. This reflects a high-pressure ridge delivering mild Mediterranean air masses after recent cold snaps, heavy rains, and unseasonal snow in northern Italy, fostering clear skies, light winds, and efficient solar heating above early April climatological norms of 16–18°C. Ensemble spread accounts for minor uncertainty from possible afternoon cumulus development or slight model divergences, with real-time Wunderground observations from the LIMC station providing definitive data by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Volumen
$34,184Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Italian Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high near 21°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving trader consensus to 53% implied probability for that outcome, with 30.5% on 22°C. This reflects a high-pressure ridge delivering mild Mediterranean air masses after recent cold snaps, heavy rains, and unseasonal snow in northern Italy, fostering clear skies, light winds, and efficient solar heating above early April climatological norms of 16–18°C. Ensemble spread accounts for minor uncertainty from possible afternoon cumulus development or slight model divergences, with real-time Wunderground observations from the LIMC station providing definitive data by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$34,184Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Italian Servizio Meteorologico dell'Aeronautica Militare and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project a daytime high near 21°C at Milan Malpensa International Airport—the market's resolution station—driving trader consensus to 53% implied probability for that outcome, with 30.5% on 22°C. This reflects a high-pressure ridge delivering mild Mediterranean air masses after recent cold snaps, heavy rains, and unseasonal snow in northern Italy, fostering clear skies, light winds, and efficient solar heating above early April climatological norms of 16–18°C. Ensemble spread accounts for minor uncertainty from possible afternoon cumulus development or slight model divergences, with real-time Wunderground observations from the LIMC station providing definitive data by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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