**Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 12°C maximum temperature in London on April 2, 2026, backed by provisional observational data from London City Airport (EGLC)—the market's designated reference station via Weather Underground—which recorded a daily high of 12°C.** This positioning stems from Met Office-verified conditions dominated by Storm Dave, an intense low-pressure system ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and gusts exceeding 30 mph, capping daytime warming despite brief sunny intervals. Pre-event UK model ensembles from the Met Office forecasted highs of 11–13°C under these steering patterns, aligning with climatological April norms around 13°C but overridden by the cyclogenesis. Final resolution hinges on uncorrected Weather Underground archives; a data revision or overlooked peripheral station outlier could challenge it, though uniform regional observations make this improbable. (118 words)
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 2 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 2 de abril?
12°C 100.0%
8°C o menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$510,657 Vol.
$510,657 Vol.
2 abr 2026
8°C o menos
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Sí
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C o más
No
12°C 100.0%
8°C o menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$510,657 Vol.
$510,657 Vol.
2 abr 2026
8°C o menos
$38,812 Vol.
No
9°C
$17,520 Vol.
No
10°C
$27,576 Vol.
No
11°C
$105,069 Vol.
No
12°C
$85,707 Vol.
Sí
13°C
$140,649 Vol.
No
14°C
$29,470 Vol.
No
15°C
$15,633 Vol.
No
16°C
$14,828 Vol.
No
17°C
$10,181 Vol.
No
18°C o más
$25,211 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 12°C maximum temperature in London on April 2, 2026, backed by provisional observational data from London City Airport (EGLC)—the market's designated reference station via Weather Underground—which recorded a daily high of 12°C.** This positioning stems from Met Office-verified conditions dominated by Storm Dave, an intense low-pressure system ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and gusts exceeding 30 mph, capping daytime warming despite brief sunny intervals. Pre-event UK model ensembles from the Met Office forecasted highs of 11–13°C under these steering patterns, aligning with climatological April norms around 13°C but overridden by the cyclogenesis. Final resolution hinges on uncorrected Weather Underground archives; a data revision or overlooked peripheral station outlier could challenge it, though uniform regional observations make this improbable. (118 words)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Volumen
$510,657Fecha de finalización
2 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 12°C maximum temperature in London on April 2, 2026, backed by provisional observational data from London City Airport (EGLC)—the market's designated reference station via Weather Underground—which recorded a daily high of 12°C.** This positioning stems from Met Office-verified conditions dominated by Storm Dave, an intense low-pressure system ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and gusts exceeding 30 mph, capping daytime warming despite brief sunny intervals. Pre-event UK model ensembles from the Met Office forecasted highs of 11–13°C under these steering patterns, aligning with climatological April norms around 13°C but overridden by the cyclogenesis. Final resolution hinges on uncorrected Weather Underground archives; a data revision or overlooked peripheral station outlier could challenge it, though uniform regional observations make this improbable. (118 words)
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$510,657Fecha de finalización
2 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 6:01 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability for a 12°C maximum temperature in London on April 2, 2026, backed by provisional observational data from London City Airport (EGLC)—the market's designated reference station via Weather Underground—which recorded a daily high of 12°C.** This positioning stems from Met Office-verified conditions dominated by Storm Dave, an intense low-pressure system ushering northerly winds, persistent cloud cover, and gusts exceeding 30 mph, capping daytime warming despite brief sunny intervals. Pre-event UK model ensembles from the Met Office forecasted highs of 11–13°C under these steering patterns, aligning with climatological April norms around 13°C but overridden by the cyclogenesis. Final resolution hinges on uncorrected Weather Underground archives; a data revision or overlooked peripheral station outlier could challenge it, though uniform regional observations make this improbable. (118 words)
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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