Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Toronto's April 4 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 8–11°C due to Environment and Climate Change Canada's (ECCC) latest forecast calling for cloudy conditions and 40–60% chance of showers, projecting daytime highs near 9–12°C depending on cloud cover and shower timing. Recent model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show a weak upper-level ridge bringing mild southerly flow, but divergent runs highlight risks of persistent low clouds or afternoon precipitation capping temperatures below 10°C, while brief clearing could push toward 11°C. Spring frontal boundaries amplify this variability, as seen in March's alternating cold snaps and warm spells; watch ECCC's morning update for refined hourly guidance ahead of observations at Pearson International Airport, the market's resolution site.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Toronto on April 4?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 4?
11°C or higher 24%
8°C 20%
10°C 19%
9°C 18%
$37,804 Vol.
$37,804 Vol.
4 abr 2026
1°C or below
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
5%
7°C
10%
8°C
20%
9°C
18%
10°C
19%
11°C or higher
24%
11°C or higher 24%
8°C 20%
10°C 19%
9°C 18%
$37,804 Vol.
$37,804 Vol.
4 abr 2026
1°C or below
$5,258 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$2,986 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$2,301 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$2,965 Vol.
1%
5°C
$3,037 Vol.
1%
6°C
$2,536 Vol.
5%
7°C
$3,330 Vol.
10%
8°C
$3,829 Vol.
20%
9°C
$2,945 Vol.
18%
10°C
$3,112 Vol.
19%
11°C or higher
$5,510 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Toronto's April 4 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 8–11°C due to Environment and Climate Change Canada's (ECCC) latest forecast calling for cloudy conditions and 40–60% chance of showers, projecting daytime highs near 9–12°C depending on cloud cover and shower timing. Recent model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show a weak upper-level ridge bringing mild southerly flow, but divergent runs highlight risks of persistent low clouds or afternoon precipitation capping temperatures below 10°C, while brief clearing could push toward 11°C. Spring frontal boundaries amplify this variability, as seen in March's alternating cold snaps and warm spells; watch ECCC's morning update for refined hourly guidance ahead of observations at Pearson International Airport, the market's resolution site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Volumen
$37,804Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 5:26 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Toronto's April 4 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 8–11°C due to Environment and Climate Change Canada's (ECCC) latest forecast calling for cloudy conditions and 40–60% chance of showers, projecting daytime highs near 9–12°C depending on cloud cover and shower timing. Recent model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show a weak upper-level ridge bringing mild southerly flow, but divergent runs highlight risks of persistent low clouds or afternoon precipitation capping temperatures below 10°C, while brief clearing could push toward 11°C. Spring frontal boundaries amplify this variability, as seen in March's alternating cold snaps and warm spells; watch ECCC's morning update for refined hourly guidance ahead of observations at Pearson International Airport, the market's resolution site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$37,804Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 5:26 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in Toronto's April 4 high temperature, with implied probabilities clustered around 8–11°C due to Environment and Climate Change Canada's (ECCC) latest forecast calling for cloudy conditions and 40–60% chance of showers, projecting daytime highs near 9–12°C depending on cloud cover and shower timing. Recent model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF show a weak upper-level ridge bringing mild southerly flow, but divergent runs highlight risks of persistent low clouds or afternoon precipitation capping temperatures below 10°C, while brief clearing could push toward 11°C. Spring frontal boundaries amplify this variability, as seen in March's alternating cold snaps and warm spells; watch ECCC's morning update for refined hourly guidance ahead of observations at Pearson International Airport, the market's resolution site.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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