Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Mexico City highs of 23–24°C on April 6, reflecting Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts influenced by the recent Frente Frío 43 and trailing polar air mass, which arrived in northern Mexico on April 4 and is advancing southward. This system brings increased cloud cover, moderate rain chances, and cold air advection that suppresses daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where typical April highs average 26°C. Model ensembles show tight clustering around these levels due to partial solar insolation amid showers, though uncertainty persists in the front's exact penetration and precipitation timing—stronger cooling could push toward 22°C, while quicker clearing favors 25°C. Watch SMN updates Sunday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 6?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 6?
24°C 41%
23°C 27%
25°C 15%
22°C 14%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
14%
23°C
27%
24°C
36%
25°C
15%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 41%
23°C 27%
25°C 15%
22°C 14%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
14%
23°C
27%
24°C
36%
25°C
15%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:20 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Mexico City highs of 23–24°C on April 6, reflecting Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts influenced by the recent Frente Frío 43 and trailing polar air mass, which arrived in northern Mexico on April 4 and is advancing southward. This system brings increased cloud cover, moderate rain chances, and cold air advection that suppresses daytime heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where typical April highs average 26°C. Model ensembles show tight clustering around these levels due to partial solar insolation amid showers, though uncertainty persists in the front's exact penetration and precipitation timing—stronger cooling could push toward 22°C, while quicker clearing favors 25°C. Watch SMN updates Sunday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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