Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-tie between 13°C (28%) and 14°C (27%) for Munich's highest temperature on April 4, driven by Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF short-range forecast ensembles averaging 13-14°C under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers. April 3 observations at München-Flughafen station recorded midday temperatures near 11°C amid west winds and low humidity (46%), signaling a mild but capped air mass following recent polar vortex influences. Differentiating factors include model spread—ECMWF cooler with more clouds versus slightly warmer GFS runs—and afternoon insolation variability, against early April climatology of 12-13°C highs. Overnight DWD updates and morning soundings could tip the balance before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on April 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 4?
13°C 27%
14°C 26%
15°C 15%
12°C 11%
$20,782 Vol.
$20,782 Vol.
4 abr 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
2%
11°C
4%
12°C
11%
13°C
27%
14°C
26%
15°C
15%
16°C
5%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
13°C 27%
14°C 26%
15°C 15%
12°C 11%
$20,782 Vol.
$20,782 Vol.
4 abr 2026
9°C or below
$3,257 Vol.
1%
10°C
$1,373 Vol.
2%
11°C
$1,954 Vol.
4%
12°C
$1,911 Vol.
11%
13°C
$1,818 Vol.
27%
14°C
$1,622 Vol.
26%
15°C
$2,571 Vol.
15%
16°C
$1,534 Vol.
5%
17°C
$1,515 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,601 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$1,631 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-tie between 13°C (28%) and 14°C (27%) for Munich's highest temperature on April 4, driven by Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF short-range forecast ensembles averaging 13-14°C under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers. April 3 observations at München-Flughafen station recorded midday temperatures near 11°C amid west winds and low humidity (46%), signaling a mild but capped air mass following recent polar vortex influences. Differentiating factors include model spread—ECMWF cooler with more clouds versus slightly warmer GFS runs—and afternoon insolation variability, against early April climatology of 12-13°C highs. Overnight DWD updates and morning soundings could tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Volumen
$20,782Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-tie between 13°C (28%) and 14°C (27%) for Munich's highest temperature on April 4, driven by Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF short-range forecast ensembles averaging 13-14°C under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers. April 3 observations at München-Flughafen station recorded midday temperatures near 11°C amid west winds and low humidity (46%), signaling a mild but capped air mass following recent polar vortex influences. Differentiating factors include model spread—ECMWF cooler with more clouds versus slightly warmer GFS runs—and afternoon insolation variability, against early April climatology of 12-13°C highs. Overnight DWD updates and morning soundings could tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,782Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-tie between 13°C (28%) and 14°C (27%) for Munich's highest temperature on April 4, driven by Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF short-range forecast ensembles averaging 13-14°C under partly cloudy skies with possible light showers. April 3 observations at München-Flughafen station recorded midday temperatures near 11°C amid west winds and low humidity (46%), signaling a mild but capped air mass following recent polar vortex influences. Differentiating factors include model spread—ECMWF cooler with more clouds versus slightly warmer GFS runs—and afternoon insolation variability, against early April climatology of 12-13°C highs. Overnight DWD updates and morning soundings could tip the balance before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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