Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 22°C slightly ahead at 28.5% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature on April 5, neck-and-neck with 21°C at 27.0%, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles. Recent runs as of April 3 show a developing 500 hPa ridge over central Europe ushering mild southerly flow and above-normal highs near 21-23°C, diverging from cooler early April trends around 13-15°C seen on April 3-4 amid prior northwesterly troughs. Key differentiators include variable low-level cloud cover, boundary layer mixing efficiency, and potential for enhanced insolation under partly sunny skies, with urban heat effects in Munich possibly tipping toward 22°C. New model updates overnight and DWD observations tomorrow will sharpen resolution based on official airport station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on April 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 5?
22°C 28%
21°C 27%
23°C 19%
20°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
8%
20°C
13%
21°C
27%
22°C
28%
23°C
19%
24°C or higher
8%
22°C 28%
21°C 27%
23°C 19%
20°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
14°C or below
$759 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$458 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$331 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$324 Vol.
1%
18°C
$709 Vol.
2%
19°C
$829 Vol.
8%
20°C
$983 Vol.
13%
21°C
$906 Vol.
27%
22°C
$1,351 Vol.
28%
23°C
$647 Vol.
19%
24°C or higher
$729 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 22°C slightly ahead at 28.5% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature on April 5, neck-and-neck with 21°C at 27.0%, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles. Recent runs as of April 3 show a developing 500 hPa ridge over central Europe ushering mild southerly flow and above-normal highs near 21-23°C, diverging from cooler early April trends around 13-15°C seen on April 3-4 amid prior northwesterly troughs. Key differentiators include variable low-level cloud cover, boundary layer mixing efficiency, and potential for enhanced insolation under partly sunny skies, with urban heat effects in Munich possibly tipping toward 22°C. New model updates overnight and DWD observations tomorrow will sharpen resolution based on official airport station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$8,018Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 22°C slightly ahead at 28.5% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature on April 5, neck-and-neck with 21°C at 27.0%, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles. Recent runs as of April 3 show a developing 500 hPa ridge over central Europe ushering mild southerly flow and above-normal highs near 21-23°C, diverging from cooler early April trends around 13-15°C seen on April 3-4 amid prior northwesterly troughs. Key differentiators include variable low-level cloud cover, boundary layer mixing efficiency, and potential for enhanced insolation under partly sunny skies, with urban heat effects in Munich possibly tipping toward 22°C. New model updates overnight and DWD observations tomorrow will sharpen resolution based on official airport station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$8,018Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 22°C slightly ahead at 28.5% implied probability for Munich's highest temperature on April 5, neck-and-neck with 21°C at 27.0%, reflecting tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) ICON, ECMWF, and GFS ensembles. Recent runs as of April 3 show a developing 500 hPa ridge over central Europe ushering mild southerly flow and above-normal highs near 21-23°C, diverging from cooler early April trends around 13-15°C seen on April 3-4 amid prior northwesterly troughs. Key differentiators include variable low-level cloud cover, boundary layer mixing efficiency, and potential for enhanced insolation under partly sunny skies, with urban heat effects in Munich possibly tipping toward 22°C. New model updates overnight and DWD observations tomorrow will sharpen resolution based on official airport station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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