Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 68-73°F for Austin's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of a cooling trend after early-week highs near 90°F, driven by an approaching weak front ushering cooler mid-level air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers reducing solar insolation. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show convergence in this range, with minor divergences tied to front timing—earlier arrival favors 68-69°F via persistent overcast, while delayed clearing supports 72-73°F peaks. Recent 24-hour updates emphasize boundary layer cooling amid breezy southeast winds and lingering humidity from prior rains, against a climatological April 5 average of 78°F. New NWS advisories expected by evening could refine odds further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on April 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 5?
70-71°F 24%
68-69°F 16%
72-73°F 14%
74°F or higher 14%
$12,491 Vol.
$12,491 Vol.
5 abr 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
6%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
16%
74°F or higher
14%
70-71°F 24%
68-69°F 16%
72-73°F 14%
74°F or higher 14%
$12,491 Vol.
$12,491 Vol.
5 abr 2026
55°F or below
$3,731 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$2,360 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$706 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$873 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$514 Vol.
6%
64-65°F
$322 Vol.
6%
66-67°F
$770 Vol.
12%
68-69°F
$415 Vol.
16%
70-71°F
$505 Vol.
24%
72-73°F
$563 Vol.
16%
74°F or higher
$1,806 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 68-73°F for Austin's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of a cooling trend after early-week highs near 90°F, driven by an approaching weak front ushering cooler mid-level air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers reducing solar insolation. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show convergence in this range, with minor divergences tied to front timing—earlier arrival favors 68-69°F via persistent overcast, while delayed clearing supports 72-73°F peaks. Recent 24-hour updates emphasize boundary layer cooling amid breezy southeast winds and lingering humidity from prior rains, against a climatological April 5 average of 78°F. New NWS advisories expected by evening could refine odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
Volumen
$12,491Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:34 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 68-73°F for Austin's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of a cooling trend after early-week highs near 90°F, driven by an approaching weak front ushering cooler mid-level air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers reducing solar insolation. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show convergence in this range, with minor divergences tied to front timing—earlier arrival favors 68-69°F via persistent overcast, while delayed clearing supports 72-73°F peaks. Recent 24-hour updates emphasize boundary layer cooling amid breezy southeast winds and lingering humidity from prior rains, against a climatological April 5 average of 78°F. New NWS advisories expected by evening could refine odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$12,491Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:34 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 68-73°F for Austin's highest temperature on April 5, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of a cooling trend after early-week highs near 90°F, driven by an approaching weak front ushering cooler mid-level air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers reducing solar insolation. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show convergence in this range, with minor divergences tied to front timing—earlier arrival favors 68-69°F via persistent overcast, while delayed clearing supports 72-73°F peaks. Recent 24-hour updates emphasize boundary layer cooling amid breezy southeast winds and lingering humidity from prior rains, against a climatological April 5 average of 78°F. New NWS advisories expected by evening could refine odds further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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