Trader consensus on a 17°C high in Istanbul stems from observational data at Atatürk Airport, where temperatures peaked at approximately 18°F (17.8°C, rounding to 17°C per standard meteorological reporting) around midday before dropping amid persistent light rain showers and broken cloud cover. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast aligns precisely, citing a low-pressure system over the Aegean Sea driving intermittent precipitation that caps solar heating, consistent with April climatology averaging 16°C highs. Ongoing yellow alerts for rain further suppress convective warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings to 18°C, though model ensembles show low probability as showers persist into evening. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 2?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 2?
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$139,364 Vol.
$139,364 Vol.
2 abr 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$139,364 Vol.
$139,364 Vol.
2 abr 2026
9°C or below
$1,702 Vol.
No
10°C
$2,780 Vol.
No
11°C
$2,788 Vol.
No
12°C
$3,331 Vol.
No
13°C
$25,183 Vol.
No
14°C
$14,485 Vol.
No
15°C
$12,624 Vol.
No
16°C
$18,086 Vol.
No
17°C
$26,205 Vol.
Yes
18°C
$17,837 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$14,341 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 17°C high in Istanbul stems from observational data at Atatürk Airport, where temperatures peaked at approximately 18°F (17.8°C, rounding to 17°C per standard meteorological reporting) around midday before dropping amid persistent light rain showers and broken cloud cover. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast aligns precisely, citing a low-pressure system over the Aegean Sea driving intermittent precipitation that caps solar heating, consistent with April climatology averaging 16°C highs. Ongoing yellow alerts for rain further suppress convective warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings to 18°C, though model ensembles show low probability as showers persist into evening. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Volumen
$139,364Fecha de finalización
2 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on a 17°C high in Istanbul stems from observational data at Atatürk Airport, where temperatures peaked at approximately 18°F (17.8°C, rounding to 17°C per standard meteorological reporting) around midday before dropping amid persistent light rain showers and broken cloud cover. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast aligns precisely, citing a low-pressure system over the Aegean Sea driving intermittent precipitation that caps solar heating, consistent with April climatology averaging 16°C highs. Ongoing yellow alerts for rain further suppress convective warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings to 18°C, though model ensembles show low probability as showers persist into evening. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$139,364Fecha de finalización
2 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus on a 17°C high in Istanbul stems from observational data at Atatürk Airport, where temperatures peaked at approximately 18°F (17.8°C, rounding to 17°C per standard meteorological reporting) around midday before dropping amid persistent light rain showers and broken cloud cover. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast aligns precisely, citing a low-pressure system over the Aegean Sea driving intermittent precipitation that caps solar heating, consistent with April climatology averaging 16°C highs. Ongoing yellow alerts for rain further suppress convective warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings to 18°C, though model ensembles show low probability as showers persist into evening. Final MGM daily summary expected post-midnight.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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