Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 5 at the Bao'an International Airport station to cluster around 26-28°C, driving trader consensus with 27°C leading at 28.5% implied probability, closely followed by 28°C (23.5%) and 26°C (22.5%). This tight spread reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from variable low-level moisture advection and sea breeze intensification, which can modulate peak highs by 1-2°C under a stable subtropical ridge; recent observations confirm warming trends consistent with April climatology (average highs ~27°C) amid fading La Niña toward ENSO-neutral conditions. Watch for China Meteorological Administration advisories and daily model updates through April 4, as minor frontal passages could tip outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 5?
27°C 29%
28°C 24%
26°C 22%
29°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
6%
25°C
9%
26°C
22%
27°C
29%
28°C
24%
29°C
13%
30°C or higher
7%
27°C 29%
28°C 24%
26°C 22%
29°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 abr 2026
20°C or below
$919 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$892 Vol.
1%
22°C
$659 Vol.
1%
23°C
$518 Vol.
3%
24°C
$250 Vol.
6%
25°C
$306 Vol.
9%
26°C
$330 Vol.
22%
27°C
$355 Vol.
29%
28°C
$332 Vol.
24%
29°C
$308 Vol.
13%
30°C or higher
$460 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 5 at the Bao'an International Airport station to cluster around 26-28°C, driving trader consensus with 27°C leading at 28.5% implied probability, closely followed by 28°C (23.5%) and 26°C (22.5%). This tight spread reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from variable low-level moisture advection and sea breeze intensification, which can modulate peak highs by 1-2°C under a stable subtropical ridge; recent observations confirm warming trends consistent with April climatology (average highs ~27°C) amid fading La Niña toward ENSO-neutral conditions. Watch for China Meteorological Administration advisories and daily model updates through April 4, as minor frontal passages could tip outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ET
Volumen
$5,328Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 5 at the Bao'an International Airport station to cluster around 26-28°C, driving trader consensus with 27°C leading at 28.5% implied probability, closely followed by 28°C (23.5%) and 26°C (22.5%). This tight spread reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from variable low-level moisture advection and sea breeze intensification, which can modulate peak highs by 1-2°C under a stable subtropical ridge; recent observations confirm warming trends consistent with April climatology (average highs ~27°C) amid fading La Niña toward ENSO-neutral conditions. Watch for China Meteorological Administration advisories and daily model updates through April 4, as minor frontal passages could tip outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$5,328Fecha de finalización
5 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 1, 2026, 6:41 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS ensembles project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 5 at the Bao'an International Airport station to cluster around 26-28°C, driving trader consensus with 27°C leading at 28.5% implied probability, closely followed by 28°C (23.5%) and 26°C (22.5%). This tight spread reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from variable low-level moisture advection and sea breeze intensification, which can modulate peak highs by 1-2°C under a stable subtropical ridge; recent observations confirm warming trends consistent with April climatology (average highs ~27°C) amid fading La Niña toward ENSO-neutral conditions. Watch for China Meteorological Administration advisories and daily model updates through April 4, as minor frontal passages could tip outcomes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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