Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) mid-range forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 6 at 12-14°C, capping warming from recent highs above 20°C due to an incoming weekend rain system with 40-60% precipitation odds, persistent cloud cover, and a shift to cooler northerly winds post-frontal passage. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values—12°C at 24% and 13°C at 23%—reflecting 1-3°C model spread from uncertainties in cloud forcing, boundary layer mixing, and rain timing, which could suppress peaks below climatological early April averages of 13-15°C. New KMA updates and ensemble runs expected daily through April 5 may narrow this genuine forecast divergence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 6?
12°C 28%
13°C 25%
14°C 18%
11°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
1%
9°C
3%
10°C
6%
11°C
15%
12°C
28%
13°C
25%
14°C
18%
15°C
12%
16°C
13%
17°C or higher
2%
12°C 28%
13°C 25%
14°C 18%
11°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
7°C or below
$880 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$821 Vol.
1%
9°C
$663 Vol.
3%
10°C
$703 Vol.
6%
11°C
$567 Vol.
15%
12°C
$873 Vol.
28%
13°C
$606 Vol.
25%
14°C
$572 Vol.
18%
15°C
$646 Vol.
12%
16°C
$768 Vol.
13%
17°C or higher
$813 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) mid-range forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 6 at 12-14°C, capping warming from recent highs above 20°C due to an incoming weekend rain system with 40-60% precipitation odds, persistent cloud cover, and a shift to cooler northerly winds post-frontal passage. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values—12°C at 24% and 13°C at 23%—reflecting 1-3°C model spread from uncertainties in cloud forcing, boundary layer mixing, and rain timing, which could suppress peaks below climatological early April averages of 13-15°C. New KMA updates and ensemble runs expected daily through April 5 may narrow this genuine forecast divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$7,911Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) mid-range forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 6 at 12-14°C, capping warming from recent highs above 20°C due to an incoming weekend rain system with 40-60% precipitation odds, persistent cloud cover, and a shift to cooler northerly winds post-frontal passage. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values—12°C at 24% and 13°C at 23%—reflecting 1-3°C model spread from uncertainties in cloud forcing, boundary layer mixing, and rain timing, which could suppress peaks below climatological early April averages of 13-15°C. New KMA updates and ensemble runs expected daily through April 5 may narrow this genuine forecast divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,911Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) mid-range forecasts and global ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS project Seoul's highest temperature on April 6 at 12-14°C, capping warming from recent highs above 20°C due to an incoming weekend rain system with 40-60% precipitation odds, persistent cloud cover, and a shift to cooler northerly winds post-frontal passage. Trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around these values—12°C at 24% and 13°C at 23%—reflecting 1-3°C model spread from uncertainties in cloud forcing, boundary layer mixing, and rain timing, which could suppress peaks below climatological early April averages of 13-15°C. New KMA updates and ensemble runs expected daily through April 5 may narrow this genuine forecast divergence.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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