Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including ensemble models and official outlooks, indicate a high near 30°C for Ankara on September 1 under mostly sunny skies, light westerly or northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with the market's leading 60.5% implied probability for that exact threshold. Seasonal norms for early September place typical daily maxima around 27–29°C at the city's elevation, with current dry conditions and stable high pressure supporting slight warming above baseline but limiting further escalation. Model runs show tight clustering around 29–31°C, explaining the secondary 32% weighting on 31°C while assigning low odds below 29°C or at 32°C and above, as no significant warm-air advection or anomalous radiative forcing appears in the latest data. Updated guidance through the day will refine the precise peak reading from stations such as Esenboğa, where afternoon observations will determine resolution amid low precipitation risk.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 1 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 1 de septiembre?
30°C 61%
31°C 32%
29°C 8%
28°C 2%
NUEVO
$16,409 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,409 Vol.
1 sep 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
61%
31°C
32%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 61%
31°C 32%
29°C 8%
28°C 2%
NUEVO
$16,409 Vol.
NUEVO
$16,409 Vol.
1 sep 2026
25°C or below
$213 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,205 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$537 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,544 Vol.
2%
29°C
$2,674 Vol.
8%
30°C
$3,534 Vol.
61%
31°C
$3,667 Vol.
32%
32°C
$1,692 Vol.
1%
33°C
$868 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$260 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including ensemble models and official outlooks, indicate a high near 30°C for Ankara on September 1 under mostly sunny skies, light westerly or northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with the market's leading 60.5% implied probability for that exact threshold. Seasonal norms for early September place typical daily maxima around 27–29°C at the city's elevation, with current dry conditions and stable high pressure supporting slight warming above baseline but limiting further escalation. Model runs show tight clustering around 29–31°C, explaining the secondary 32% weighting on 31°C while assigning low odds below 29°C or at 32°C and above, as no significant warm-air advection or anomalous radiative forcing appears in the latest data. Updated guidance through the day will refine the precise peak reading from stations such as Esenboğa, where afternoon observations will determine resolution amid low precipitation risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$16,409Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including ensemble models and official outlooks, indicate a high near 30°C for Ankara on September 1 under mostly sunny skies, light westerly or northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with the market's leading 60.5% implied probability for that exact threshold. Seasonal norms for early September place typical daily maxima around 27–29°C at the city's elevation, with current dry conditions and stable high pressure supporting slight warming above baseline but limiting further escalation. Model runs show tight clustering around 29–31°C, explaining the secondary 32% weighting on 31°C while assigning low odds below 29°C or at 32°C and above, as no significant warm-air advection or anomalous radiative forcing appears in the latest data. Updated guidance through the day will refine the precise peak reading from stations such as Esenboğa, where afternoon observations will determine resolution amid low precipitation risk.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$16,409Fecha de finalización
1 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including ensemble models and official outlooks, indicate a high near 30°C for Ankara on September 1 under mostly sunny skies, light westerly or northerly winds, and minimal cloud cover, aligning closely with the market's leading 60.5% implied probability for that exact threshold. Seasonal norms for early September place typical daily maxima around 27–29°C at the city's elevation, with current dry conditions and stable high pressure supporting slight warming above baseline but limiting further escalation. Model runs show tight clustering around 29–31°C, explaining the secondary 32% weighting on 31°C while assigning low odds below 29°C or at 32°C and above, as no significant warm-air advection or anomalous radiative forcing appears in the latest data. Updated guidance through the day will refine the precise peak reading from stations such as Esenboğa, where afternoon observations will determine resolution amid low precipitation risk.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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