Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 74-75°F (41.5% implied probability) for Austin on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance forecasting a peak near 73-74°F following cold front passage expected Saturday afternoon. This marks a sharp drop from today's highs near 90°F, as cooler air advection, lingering cloud cover, and 50% chances of showers/thunderstorms suppress daytime heating and insolation. Model ensembles from NOAA align on subdued warming under northeast winds, though minor disagreements on front timing introduce uncertainty tilting toward adjacent bins like 72-73°F (22.1%) or 76-77°F (24.0%). Watch NWS hourly updates and Austin-Bergstrom observations for final resolution, with climatological April averages around 80°F providing context for this below-normal outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on April 18?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 18?
74-75°F 42%
76-77°F 25%
72-73°F 22.4%
78-79°F 8%
NUEVO
$35,083 Vol.
NUEVO
$35,083 Vol.
18 abr 2026
69°F or below
3%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
42%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
1%
74-75°F 42%
76-77°F 25%
72-73°F 22.4%
78-79°F 8%
NUEVO
$35,083 Vol.
NUEVO
$35,083 Vol.
18 abr 2026
69°F or below
$1,072 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$1,872 Vol.
5%
72-73°F
$1,996 Vol.
22%
74-75°F
$878 Vol.
42%
76-77°F
$533 Vol.
25%
78-79°F
$1,306 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$3,991 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$3,281 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$4,641 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$14,048 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$1,466 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 74-75°F (41.5% implied probability) for Austin on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance forecasting a peak near 73-74°F following cold front passage expected Saturday afternoon. This marks a sharp drop from today's highs near 90°F, as cooler air advection, lingering cloud cover, and 50% chances of showers/thunderstorms suppress daytime heating and insolation. Model ensembles from NOAA align on subdued warming under northeast winds, though minor disagreements on front timing introduce uncertainty tilting toward adjacent bins like 72-73°F (22.1%) or 76-77°F (24.0%). Watch NWS hourly updates and Austin-Bergstrom observations for final resolution, with climatological April averages around 80°F providing context for this below-normal outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
Volumen
$35,083Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:42 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 74-75°F (41.5% implied probability) for Austin on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance forecasting a peak near 73-74°F following cold front passage expected Saturday afternoon. This marks a sharp drop from today's highs near 90°F, as cooler air advection, lingering cloud cover, and 50% chances of showers/thunderstorms suppress daytime heating and insolation. Model ensembles from NOAA align on subdued warming under northeast winds, though minor disagreements on front timing introduce uncertainty tilting toward adjacent bins like 72-73°F (22.1%) or 76-77°F (24.0%). Watch NWS hourly updates and Austin-Bergstrom observations for final resolution, with climatological April averages around 80°F providing context for this below-normal outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$35,083Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 12:42 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 74-75°F (41.5% implied probability) for Austin on April 18, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) guidance forecasting a peak near 73-74°F following cold front passage expected Saturday afternoon. This marks a sharp drop from today's highs near 90°F, as cooler air advection, lingering cloud cover, and 50% chances of showers/thunderstorms suppress daytime heating and insolation. Model ensembles from NOAA align on subdued warming under northeast winds, though minor disagreements on front timing introduce uncertainty tilting toward adjacent bins like 72-73°F (22.1%) or 76-77°F (24.0%). Watch NWS hourly updates and Austin-Bergstrom observations for final resolution, with climatological April averages around 80°F providing context for this below-normal outlook.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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