Recent National Weather Service guidance shows Austin under a Flood Watch through July 16 evening amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, limiting afternoon insolation and capping the daily maximum. Model consensus points to highs near 85–88 °F, several degrees below the mid-July climatological average of ~96 °F, as increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rainfall, and a modest southeasterly flow suppress peak readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87 °F bands reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability assigned to 88–89 °F only if convection remains scattered and delayed. Key resolution variables include the precise timing and coverage of storms on the 16th, which National Weather Service updates will refine through the afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 16 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 16 de julio?
88-89°F 100%
75°F o menos <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$76,461 Vol.
$76,461 Vol.
16 jul 2026
75°F o menos
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Sí
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F o más
No
88-89°F 100%
75°F o menos <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$76,461 Vol.
$76,461 Vol.
16 jul 2026
75°F o menos
$3,753 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$5,429 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$5,877 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$5,727 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$9,778 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$8,824 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$4,949 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$6,734 Vol.
Sí
90-91°F
$5,409 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$7,749 Vol.
No
94°F o más
$12,232 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance shows Austin under a Flood Watch through July 16 evening amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, limiting afternoon insolation and capping the daily maximum. Model consensus points to highs near 85–88 °F, several degrees below the mid-July climatological average of ~96 °F, as increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rainfall, and a modest southeasterly flow suppress peak readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87 °F bands reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability assigned to 88–89 °F only if convection remains scattered and delayed. Key resolution variables include the precise timing and coverage of storms on the 16th, which National Weather Service updates will refine through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$76,461Fecha de finalización
16 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance shows Austin under a Flood Watch through July 16 evening amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, limiting afternoon insolation and capping the daily maximum. Model consensus points to highs near 85–88 °F, several degrees below the mid-July climatological average of ~96 °F, as increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rainfall, and a modest southeasterly flow suppress peak readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87 °F bands reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability assigned to 88–89 °F only if convection remains scattered and delayed. Key resolution variables include the precise timing and coverage of storms on the 16th, which National Weather Service updates will refine through the afternoon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$76,461Fecha de finalización
16 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent National Weather Service guidance shows Austin under a Flood Watch through July 16 evening amid widespread showers and thunderstorms, limiting afternoon insolation and capping the daily maximum. Model consensus points to highs near 85–88 °F, several degrees below the mid-July climatological average of ~96 °F, as increased cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rainfall, and a modest southeasterly flow suppress peak readings. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 82–87 °F bands reflects this narrow forecast envelope, with modest probability assigned to 88–89 °F only if convection remains scattered and delayed. Key resolution variables include the precise timing and coverage of storms on the 16th, which National Weather Service updates will refine through the afternoon.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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