Market-implied probabilities cluster around 92–95°F because ensemble guidance and climatology point to near-normal early-summer conditions for Austin, where the June average high is 93–95°F. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while southerly flow brings Gulf moisture that could increase afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection and slightly cap the maximum. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm development, producing the tight distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast discussion and updated model cycles for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on June 21?
Highest temperature in Austin on June 21?
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F o menos <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$35,065 Vol.
$35,065 Vol.
21 jun 2026
83°F o menos
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Sí
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
83°F o menos <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$35,065 Vol.
$35,065 Vol.
21 jun 2026
83°F o menos
$1,436 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$1,116 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$1,952 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$6,516 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$4,946 Vol.
No
92-93°F
$5,284 Vol.
Sí
94-95°F
$6,013 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$3,492 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$2,374 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$1,094 Vol.
No
102°F or higher
$841 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied probabilities cluster around 92–95°F because ensemble guidance and climatology point to near-normal early-summer conditions for Austin, where the June average high is 93–95°F. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while southerly flow brings Gulf moisture that could increase afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection and slightly cap the maximum. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm development, producing the tight distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast discussion and updated model cycles for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 19, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$35,065Fecha de finalización
21 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 19, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied probabilities cluster around 92–95°F because ensemble guidance and climatology point to near-normal early-summer conditions for Austin, where the June average high is 93–95°F. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while southerly flow brings Gulf moisture that could increase afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection and slightly cap the maximum. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm development, producing the tight distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast discussion and updated model cycles for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$35,065Fecha de finalización
21 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 19, 2026, 9:04 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Market-implied probabilities cluster around 92–95°F because ensemble guidance and climatology point to near-normal early-summer conditions for Austin, where the June average high is 93–95°F. Persistent high pressure supports strong daytime heating under mostly sunny skies, while southerly flow brings Gulf moisture that could increase afternoon cloud cover or isolated convection and slightly cap the maximum. Recent model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and timing of any sea-breeze or thunderstorm development, producing the tight distribution across adjacent temperature bins. Traders are watching the next National Weather Service forecast discussion and updated model cycles for shifts in these key variables before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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