Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and Beijing Meteorological Observatory confirm Beijing's highest temperature at Capital International Airport peaked at 26°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies, hazy sunshine, and light northerly-to-southerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA issued early that morning projected this exact high, aligning with May climatological averages of 25–26°C daytime maxima amid stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon convective heating or wind shifts boosting peaks to 27°C+, but midday readings already capped near 26°C, with final daily reports expected post-midnight UTC minimizing revision risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 4?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 4?
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$89,519 Vol.
$89,519 Vol.
4 may 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
$89,519 Vol.
$89,519 Vol.
4 may 2026
24°C or below
$18,128 Vol.
No
25°C
$12,306 Vol.
No
26°C
$14,108 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$11,977 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,444 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,349 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,344 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,964 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,440 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,666 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$1,792 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and Beijing Meteorological Observatory confirm Beijing's highest temperature at Capital International Airport peaked at 26°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies, hazy sunshine, and light northerly-to-southerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA issued early that morning projected this exact high, aligning with May climatological averages of 25–26°C daytime maxima amid stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon convective heating or wind shifts boosting peaks to 27°C+, but midday readings already capped near 26°C, with final daily reports expected post-midnight UTC minimizing revision risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 2, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volumen
$89,519Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and Beijing Meteorological Observatory confirm Beijing's highest temperature at Capital International Airport peaked at 26°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies, hazy sunshine, and light northerly-to-southerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA issued early that morning projected this exact high, aligning with May climatological averages of 25–26°C daytime maxima amid stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon convective heating or wind shifts boosting peaks to 27°C+, but midday readings already capped near 26°C, with final daily reports expected post-midnight UTC minimizing revision risks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$89,519Fecha de finalización
4 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 2, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and Beijing Meteorological Observatory confirm Beijing's highest temperature at Capital International Airport peaked at 26°C on May 4, 2026, under clear skies, hazy sunshine, and light northerly-to-southerly winds, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for this outcome. Short-range forecast models from CMA issued early that morning projected this exact high, aligning with May climatological averages of 25–26°C daytime maxima amid stable high-pressure systems. Realistic challenges include unexpected late-afternoon convective heating or wind shifts boosting peaks to 27°C+, but midday readings already capped near 26°C, with final daily reports expected post-midnight UTC minimizing revision risks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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