Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close competition among 29°C or higher (36%), 28°C (28.5%), and 27°C (23%), driven by recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peak highs of 27–29°C at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport station, well above the early-April climatological normal of 22°C. This warmer-than-average outlook stems from neutral ENSO conditions fostering autumn variability in the Pampas region, combined with current clear skies and high humidity promoting daytime heating under light winds. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover and thunderstorm timing—earlier convective activity could cap temperatures at 27–28°C by reducing solar insolation, while prolonged sunshine might push toward 29°C+. Hourly observations and SMN updates today will sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿Temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 3 de abril?
¿Temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 3 de abril?
28°C 32%
27°C 25%
29°C o más 25%
26°C 12%
$39,475 Vol.
$39,475 Vol.
3 abr 2026
19°C o menos
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
12%
27°C
25%
28°C
32%
29°C o más
25%
28°C 32%
27°C 25%
29°C o más 25%
26°C 12%
$39,475 Vol.
$39,475 Vol.
3 abr 2026
19°C o menos
$2,864 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,534 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,668 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,233 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,675 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$4,179 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,895 Vol.
2%
26°C
$3,655 Vol.
12%
27°C
$3,142 Vol.
25%
28°C
$3,693 Vol.
32%
29°C o más
$9,951 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close competition among 29°C or higher (36%), 28°C (28.5%), and 27°C (23%), driven by recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peak highs of 27–29°C at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport station, well above the early-April climatological normal of 22°C. This warmer-than-average outlook stems from neutral ENSO conditions fostering autumn variability in the Pampas region, combined with current clear skies and high humidity promoting daytime heating under light winds. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover and thunderstorm timing—earlier convective activity could cap temperatures at 27–28°C by reducing solar insolation, while prolonged sunshine might push toward 29°C+. Hourly observations and SMN updates today will sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volumen
$39,475Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close competition among 29°C or higher (36%), 28°C (28.5%), and 27°C (23%), driven by recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peak highs of 27–29°C at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport station, well above the early-April climatological normal of 22°C. This warmer-than-average outlook stems from neutral ENSO conditions fostering autumn variability in the Pampas region, combined with current clear skies and high humidity promoting daytime heating under light winds. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover and thunderstorm timing—earlier convective activity could cap temperatures at 27–28°C by reducing solar insolation, while prolonged sunshine might push toward 29°C+. Hourly observations and SMN updates today will sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$39,475Fecha de finalización
3 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close competition among 29°C or higher (36%), 28°C (28.5%), and 27°C (23%), driven by recent GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peak highs of 27–29°C at Buenos Aires' Ministro Pistarini International Airport station, well above the early-April climatological normal of 22°C. This warmer-than-average outlook stems from neutral ENSO conditions fostering autumn variability in the Pampas region, combined with current clear skies and high humidity promoting daytime heating under light winds. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon cloud cover and thunderstorm timing—earlier convective activity could cap temperatures at 27–28°C by reducing solar insolation, while prolonged sunshine might push toward 29°C+. Hourly observations and SMN updates today will sharpen resolution amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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