The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast pins Buenos Aires' April 6 maximum temperature at 21°C, driving trader consensus with 23.5% implied probability, amid all-day rain and winds of 23-50 km/h from an incoming cool frontal system. This follows a record April minimum of 24.1°C on April 1—the warmest since 1906—due to persistent tropical air, now displaced by cooler Atlantic inflow and extensive cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Closely matched odds for 20°C (22%) and 19°C (20.5%) reflect ensemble model spread in GFS and ECMWF runs over exact precipitation timing and solar insolation, typical for autumn transitions when historical highs average 22°C. Updated SMN guidance expected daily could refine these uncertainties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 6 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Buenos Aires el 6 de abril?
21°C 24%
20°C 22%
19°C 21%
18°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
14°C o menos
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
8%
18°C
16%
19°C
21%
20°C
22%
21°C
24%
22°C
12%
23°C
6%
24°C o más
6%
21°C 24%
20°C 22%
19°C 21%
18°C 16%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 abr 2026
14°C o menos
$340 Vol.
1%
15°C
$78 Vol.
2%
16°C
$58 Vol.
4%
17°C
$83 Vol.
8%
18°C
$123 Vol.
16%
19°C
$86 Vol.
21%
20°C
$47 Vol.
22%
21°C
$147 Vol.
24%
22°C
$49 Vol.
12%
23°C
$88 Vol.
6%
24°C o más
$414 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast pins Buenos Aires' April 6 maximum temperature at 21°C, driving trader consensus with 23.5% implied probability, amid all-day rain and winds of 23-50 km/h from an incoming cool frontal system. This follows a record April minimum of 24.1°C on April 1—the warmest since 1906—due to persistent tropical air, now displaced by cooler Atlantic inflow and extensive cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Closely matched odds for 20°C (22%) and 19°C (20.5%) reflect ensemble model spread in GFS and ECMWF runs over exact precipitation timing and solar insolation, typical for autumn transitions when historical highs average 22°C. Updated SMN guidance expected daily could refine these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volumen
$1,511Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast pins Buenos Aires' April 6 maximum temperature at 21°C, driving trader consensus with 23.5% implied probability, amid all-day rain and winds of 23-50 km/h from an incoming cool frontal system. This follows a record April minimum of 24.1°C on April 1—the warmest since 1906—due to persistent tropical air, now displaced by cooler Atlantic inflow and extensive cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Closely matched odds for 20°C (22%) and 19°C (20.5%) reflect ensemble model spread in GFS and ECMWF runs over exact precipitation timing and solar insolation, typical for autumn transitions when historical highs average 22°C. Updated SMN guidance expected daily could refine these uncertainties.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,511Fecha de finalización
6 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest forecast pins Buenos Aires' April 6 maximum temperature at 21°C, driving trader consensus with 23.5% implied probability, amid all-day rain and winds of 23-50 km/h from an incoming cool frontal system. This follows a record April minimum of 24.1°C on April 1—the warmest since 1906—due to persistent tropical air, now displaced by cooler Atlantic inflow and extensive cloud cover suppressing daytime heating. Closely matched odds for 20°C (22%) and 19°C (20.5%) reflect ensemble model spread in GFS and ECMWF runs over exact precipitation timing and solar insolation, typical for autumn transitions when historical highs average 22°C. Updated SMN guidance expected daily could refine these uncertainties.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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