Latest forecast guidance from meteorological services like AccuWeather points to a high of around 21°C in Buenos Aires on April 4, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C, 20°C, and 22°C amid decreasing cloud cover, southerly winds at 13 mph, and lower humidity that temper diurnal heating. These closely matched implied probabilities reflect inherent short-term uncertainty in peak temperature timing, influenced by sea breeze effects from the Río de la Plata and urban heat island dynamics at Ezeiza Airport—the market's resolution station via Wunderground data. Typical autumn cooling trends (April averages ~22°C) and stable high-pressure patterns support mild conditions, with final observations expected by evening to resolve the market. Ensemble models show minimal spread, but subtle cloud breaks or wind shifts could nudge the peak by 1–2°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
21°C 28%
20°C 22%
22°C 19%
23°C 12%
$21,058 Vol.
$21,058 Vol.
4 abr 2026
17°C or below
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
11%
20°C
22%
21°C
28%
22°C
19%
23°C
12%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
1%
21°C 28%
20°C 22%
22°C 19%
23°C 12%
$21,058 Vol.
$21,058 Vol.
4 abr 2026
17°C or below
$1,551 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,155 Vol.
3%
19°C
$1,475 Vol.
11%
20°C
$1,378 Vol.
22%
21°C
$1,526 Vol.
28%
22°C
$1,430 Vol.
19%
23°C
$1,300 Vol.
12%
24°C
$1,998 Vol.
5%
25°C
$1,734 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,161 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$5,359 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast guidance from meteorological services like AccuWeather points to a high of around 21°C in Buenos Aires on April 4, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C, 20°C, and 22°C amid decreasing cloud cover, southerly winds at 13 mph, and lower humidity that temper diurnal heating. These closely matched implied probabilities reflect inherent short-term uncertainty in peak temperature timing, influenced by sea breeze effects from the Río de la Plata and urban heat island dynamics at Ezeiza Airport—the market's resolution station via Wunderground data. Typical autumn cooling trends (April averages ~22°C) and stable high-pressure patterns support mild conditions, with final observations expected by evening to resolve the market. Ensemble models show minimal spread, but subtle cloud breaks or wind shifts could nudge the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
Volumen
$21,058Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecast guidance from meteorological services like AccuWeather points to a high of around 21°C in Buenos Aires on April 4, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C, 20°C, and 22°C amid decreasing cloud cover, southerly winds at 13 mph, and lower humidity that temper diurnal heating. These closely matched implied probabilities reflect inherent short-term uncertainty in peak temperature timing, influenced by sea breeze effects from the Río de la Plata and urban heat island dynamics at Ezeiza Airport—the market's resolution station via Wunderground data. Typical autumn cooling trends (April averages ~22°C) and stable high-pressure patterns support mild conditions, with final observations expected by evening to resolve the market. Ensemble models show minimal spread, but subtle cloud breaks or wind shifts could nudge the peak by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$21,058Fecha de finalización
4 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from meteorological services like AccuWeather points to a high of around 21°C in Buenos Aires on April 4, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C, 20°C, and 22°C amid decreasing cloud cover, southerly winds at 13 mph, and lower humidity that temper diurnal heating. These closely matched implied probabilities reflect inherent short-term uncertainty in peak temperature timing, influenced by sea breeze effects from the Río de la Plata and urban heat island dynamics at Ezeiza Airport—the market's resolution station via Wunderground data. Typical autumn cooling trends (April averages ~22°C) and stable high-pressure patterns support mild conditions, with final observations expected by evening to resolve the market. Ensemble models show minimal spread, but subtle cloud breaks or wind shifts could nudge the peak by 1–2°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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