Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 29°C high in Chengdu on April 18 at 30.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C and 30°C at 22.5% each, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from China Meteorological Administration models amid spring warming trends. Recent daily highs have climbed into the mid-20s°C over the past week, supported by a high-pressure ridge enhancing solar insolation and reducing cloud cover, though patchy rain risks could cap peaks at 28°C via increased humidity and convective activity. Climatological normals show April highs averaging 24°C but frequently hitting 28–30°C mid-month due to the Sichuan Basin's thermal dynamics and occasional föhn winds; ensemble model spreads highlight differentiating factors like boundary layer mixing and afternoon heating rates. Updated CMA guidance expected April 17 could sharpen odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
29°C 28%
28°C 26%
30°C 22%
27°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 abr 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
13%
28°C
24%
29°C
28%
30°C
22%
31°C
10%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 28%
28°C 26%
30°C 22%
27°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 abr 2026
22°C or below
$574 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$368 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$681 Vol.
1%
25°C
$130 Vol.
3%
26°C
$296 Vol.
7%
27°C
$20 Vol.
13%
28°C
$12 Vol.
24%
29°C
$37 Vol.
28%
30°C
$4 Vol.
22%
31°C
$65 Vol.
10%
32°C or higher
$127 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 29°C high in Chengdu on April 18 at 30.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C and 30°C at 22.5% each, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from China Meteorological Administration models amid spring warming trends. Recent daily highs have climbed into the mid-20s°C over the past week, supported by a high-pressure ridge enhancing solar insolation and reducing cloud cover, though patchy rain risks could cap peaks at 28°C via increased humidity and convective activity. Climatological normals show April highs averaging 24°C but frequently hitting 28–30°C mid-month due to the Sichuan Basin's thermal dynamics and occasional föhn winds; ensemble model spreads highlight differentiating factors like boundary layer mixing and afternoon heating rates. Updated CMA guidance expected April 17 could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Volumen
$2,305Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 29°C high in Chengdu on April 18 at 30.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C and 30°C at 22.5% each, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from China Meteorological Administration models amid spring warming trends. Recent daily highs have climbed into the mid-20s°C over the past week, supported by a high-pressure ridge enhancing solar insolation and reducing cloud cover, though patchy rain risks could cap peaks at 28°C via increased humidity and convective activity. Climatological normals show April highs averaging 24°C but frequently hitting 28–30°C mid-month due to the Sichuan Basin's thermal dynamics and occasional föhn winds; ensemble model spreads highlight differentiating factors like boundary layer mixing and afternoon heating rates. Updated CMA guidance expected April 17 could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$2,305Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a 29°C high in Chengdu on April 18 at 30.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 28°C and 30°C at 22.5% each, reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from China Meteorological Administration models amid spring warming trends. Recent daily highs have climbed into the mid-20s°C over the past week, supported by a high-pressure ridge enhancing solar insolation and reducing cloud cover, though patchy rain risks could cap peaks at 28°C via increased humidity and convective activity. Climatological normals show April highs averaging 24°C but frequently hitting 28–30°C mid-month due to the Sichuan Basin's thermal dynamics and occasional föhn winds; ensemble model spreads highlight differentiating factors like boundary layer mixing and afternoon heating rates. Updated CMA guidance expected April 17 could sharpen odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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