Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 18, driven by finalized observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station (ZUUU), as reported by Weather Underground, confirming the day's peak at exactly 30°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Mid-April norms in the Sichuan Basin yield average highs of 23–26°C per historical China Meteorological Administration records, with occasional spikes above 30°C under high-pressure ridging, but evening cloud development today prevented further intensification. Absent rare data revisions post-finalization—a scenario precluded by market rules—this positioning reflects robust meteorological evidence with negligible uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 18?
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$82,493 Vol.
$82,493 Vol.
18 abr 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$82,493 Vol.
$82,493 Vol.
18 abr 2026
22°C or below
$3,215 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,229 Vol.
No
24°C
$2,381 Vol.
No
25°C
$6,373 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,539 Vol.
No
27°C
$5,553 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,885 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,135 Vol.
No
30°C
$11,590 Vol.
Yes
31°C
$14,498 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$10,094 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 18, driven by finalized observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station (ZUUU), as reported by Weather Underground, confirming the day's peak at exactly 30°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Mid-April norms in the Sichuan Basin yield average highs of 23–26°C per historical China Meteorological Administration records, with occasional spikes above 30°C under high-pressure ridging, but evening cloud development today prevented further intensification. Absent rare data revisions post-finalization—a scenario precluded by market rules—this positioning reflects robust meteorological evidence with negligible uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ET
Volumen
$82,493Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 18, driven by finalized observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station (ZUUU), as reported by Weather Underground, confirming the day's peak at exactly 30°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Mid-April norms in the Sichuan Basin yield average highs of 23–26°C per historical China Meteorological Administration records, with occasional spikes above 30°C under high-pressure ridging, but evening cloud development today prevented further intensification. Absent rare data revisions post-finalization—a scenario precluded by market rules—this positioning reflects robust meteorological evidence with negligible uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$82,493Fecha de finalización
18 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 16, 2026, 1:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature in Chengdu on April 18, driven by finalized observational data from the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport station (ZUUU), as reported by Weather Underground, confirming the day's peak at exactly 30°C amid partly cloudy skies and light winds. Mid-April norms in the Sichuan Basin yield average highs of 23–26°C per historical China Meteorological Administration records, with occasional spikes above 30°C under high-pressure ridging, but evening cloud development today prevented further intensification. Absent rare data revisions post-finalization—a scenario precluded by market rules—this positioning reflects robust meteorological evidence with negligible uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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