Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a hot, sunny pattern persisting into August 3, with high pressure promoting strong daytime heating and minimal cloud cover over the Front Range. This setup, following Denver’s first 100°F day of the year in late July, supports market-implied odds favoring 100-101°F (41%) over 98-99°F (32.5%). Key variables differentiating these bins include subtle differences in afternoon dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and downslope wind strength across runs from the GFS, NAM, and ECMWF—small shifts that can swing the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Historical early-August normals near 89–90°F underscore the anomaly, while official KDEN observations will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Denver el 3 de agosto?
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 33%
102-103°F 19%
96-97°F 7%
91°F o menos
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
2%
110°F o más
<1%
100-101°F 41%
98-99°F 33%
102-103°F 19%
96-97°F 7%
91°F o menos
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
33%
100-101°F
41%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
3%
106-107°F
2%
108-109°F
2%
110°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 1, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance indicate a hot, sunny pattern persisting into August 3, with high pressure promoting strong daytime heating and minimal cloud cover over the Front Range. This setup, following Denver’s first 100°F day of the year in late July, supports market-implied odds favoring 100-101°F (41%) over 98-99°F (32.5%). Key variables differentiating these bins include subtle differences in afternoon dew points, boundary-layer mixing, and downslope wind strength across runs from the GFS, NAM, and ECMWF—small shifts that can swing the daily maximum by 2–3°F. Historical early-August normals near 89–90°F underscore the anomaly, while official KDEN observations will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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