Latest meteorological forecasts from major global and regional models project a daily high near 29°C (84°F) for Istanbul on June 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for the 28°C-or-higher outcome. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs reach 25–26°C but warm anomalies of several degrees commonly occur with stable high-pressure patterns. Official resolution will use the highest temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Only a substantial shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could realistically keep the peak below 28°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before peak heating.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 3 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 3 de junio?
28°C o más 100.0%
18°C o menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,834 Vol.
$17,834 Vol.
3 jun 2026
18°C o menos
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C o más
Sí
28°C o más 100.0%
18°C o menos <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$17,834 Vol.
$17,834 Vol.
3 jun 2026
18°C o menos
$436 Vol.
No
19°C
$436 Vol.
No
20°C
$551 Vol.
No
21°C
$561 Vol.
No
22°C
$546 Vol.
No
23°C
$1,404 Vol.
No
24°C
$657 Vol.
No
25°C
$1,095 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,943 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,737 Vol.
No
28°C o más
$4,468 Vol.
Sí
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from major global and regional models project a daily high near 29°C (84°F) for Istanbul on June 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for the 28°C-or-higher outcome. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs reach 25–26°C but warm anomalies of several degrees commonly occur with stable high-pressure patterns. Official resolution will use the highest temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Only a substantial shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could realistically keep the peak below 28°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$17,834Fecha de finalización
3 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest meteorological forecasts from major global and regional models project a daily high near 29°C (84°F) for Istanbul on June 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for the 28°C-or-higher outcome. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs reach 25–26°C but warm anomalies of several degrees commonly occur with stable high-pressure patterns. Official resolution will use the highest temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Only a substantial shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could realistically keep the peak below 28°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$17,834Fecha de finalización
3 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 1, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Latest meteorological forecasts from major global and regional models project a daily high near 29°C (84°F) for Istanbul on June 3 under mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow, driving the near-100% market-implied probability for the 28°C-or-higher outcome. This aligns with early-June climatology, when average highs reach 25–26°C but warm anomalies of several degrees commonly occur with stable high-pressure patterns. Official resolution will use the highest temperature recorded at Istanbul Airport by the Turkish State Meteorological Service. Only a substantial shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover could realistically keep the peak below 28°C, though current model consensus shows low likelihood of such changes before peak heating.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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