Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow highlight widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and 25–30 mm of rainfall on September 26, which are suppressing daytime heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 23–25°C. Ensemble models show modest day-to-day variability in maximum temperatures driven by differences in convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and low-level wind speeds that modulate surface insolation. Historical September maxima near 34°C provide context, yet the current post-monsoon transition and lingering low-pressure influences favor cooler outcomes this year. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as steering patterns and rainfall totals become clearer.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 26 de septiembre?
23°C 40%
24°C 29%
25°C 22%
27°C 14%
20°C o menos
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
40%
24°C
29%
25°C
22%
26°C
12%
27°C
14%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C o más
2%
23°C 40%
24°C 29%
25°C 22%
27°C 14%
20°C o menos
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C
40%
24°C
29%
25°C
22%
26°C
12%
27°C
14%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C o más
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow highlight widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and 25–30 mm of rainfall on September 26, which are suppressing daytime heating and supporting the market's tight clustering around 23–25°C. Ensemble models show modest day-to-day variability in maximum temperatures driven by differences in convective timing, boundary-layer moisture, and low-level wind speeds that modulate surface insolation. Historical September maxima near 34°C provide context, yet the current post-monsoon transition and lingering low-pressure influences favor cooler outcomes this year. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities as steering patterns and rainfall totals become clearer.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes