Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the reference station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on April 28, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly measurements confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS predicting highs near 25–26°C under high-pressure influence. April climatology at Barajas typically sees average highs of 19°C, but recent mild Atlantic flows supported this above-normal reading. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an official data revision, such as sensor recalibration, could shift resolution, though AEMET daily maxima are rarely amended post-validation. Traders await final AEMET bulletin for closure.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on April 28?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 28?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,959 Vol.
$73,959 Vol.
28 abr 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$73,959 Vol.
$73,959 Vol.
28 abr 2026
19°C or below
$1,898 Vol.
No
20°C
$2,241 Vol.
No
21°C
$3,198 Vol.
No
22°C
$2,277 Vol.
No
23°C
$13,092 Vol.
No
24°C
$10,247 Vol.
No
25°C
$12,744 Vol.
Yes
26°C
$9,090 Vol.
No
27°C
$7,753 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,206 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$5,211 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the reference station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on April 28, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly measurements confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS predicting highs near 25–26°C under high-pressure influence. April climatology at Barajas typically sees average highs of 19°C, but recent mild Atlantic flows supported this above-normal reading. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an official data revision, such as sensor recalibration, could shift resolution, though AEMET daily maxima are rarely amended post-validation. Traders await final AEMET bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volumen
$73,959Fecha de finalización
28 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the reference station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on April 28, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly measurements confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS predicting highs near 25–26°C under high-pressure influence. April climatology at Barajas typically sees average highs of 19°C, but recent mild Atlantic flows supported this above-normal reading. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an official data revision, such as sensor recalibration, could shift resolution, though AEMET daily maxima are rarely amended post-validation. Traders await final AEMET bulletin for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$73,959Fecha de finalización
28 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 26, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official observations from Spain's Agencia Estatal de Meteorología (AEMET) at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport, the reference station for this market, recorded a maximum temperature of 25°C on April 28, 2026, driving trader consensus to near-certainty at 100% implied probability. Hourly measurements confirmed this peak amid partly cloudy skies and light winds, aligning with pre-event forecast models from ECMWF and GFS predicting highs near 25–26°C under high-pressure influence. April climatology at Barajas typically sees average highs of 19°C, but recent mild Atlantic flows supported this above-normal reading. Realistic challenges are minimal—only an official data revision, such as sensor recalibration, could shift resolution, though AEMET daily maxima are rarely amended post-validation. Traders await final AEMET bulletin for closure.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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