Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a maximum of 28°C for Madrid on August 26 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southwesterly winds, while timeanddate.com indicates 29–30°C amid cloudy skies. These align with a broader late-August cooling trend as seasonal highs decline from mid-month peaks near 32–33°C, driven by weakening subtropical high pressure and increasing Atlantic influence. Model consensus places the daily maximum firmly in the 28–30°C range, with low precipitation risk and minimal diurnal variability expected. Trader positioning favoring 29°C reflects this narrow forecast envelope and historical variability around late-summer climatology, while lower-probability tails for 31°C+ or 27°C and below account for potential model shifts in the final 48-hour updates from agencies such as AEMET or ECMWF.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 26 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 26 de agosto?
29°C 43%
30°C 24%
28°C 21%
31°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
6%
27°C
8%
28°C
21%
29°C
43%
30°C
24%
31°C
9%
32°C
8%
33°C
4%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
29°C 43%
30°C 24%
28°C 21%
31°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 ago 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C
$40 Vol.
6%
27°C
$0 Vol.
8%
28°C
$0 Vol.
21%
29°C
$14 Vol.
43%
30°C
$36 Vol.
24%
31°C
$0 Vol.
9%
32°C
$12 Vol.
8%
33°C
$5 Vol.
4%
34°C
$0 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a maximum of 28°C for Madrid on August 26 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southwesterly winds, while timeanddate.com indicates 29–30°C amid cloudy skies. These align with a broader late-August cooling trend as seasonal highs decline from mid-month peaks near 32–33°C, driven by weakening subtropical high pressure and increasing Atlantic influence. Model consensus places the daily maximum firmly in the 28–30°C range, with low precipitation risk and minimal diurnal variability expected. Trader positioning favoring 29°C reflects this narrow forecast envelope and historical variability around late-summer climatology, while lower-probability tails for 31°C+ or 27°C and below account for potential model shifts in the final 48-hour updates from agencies such as AEMET or ECMWF.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$112Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a maximum of 28°C for Madrid on August 26 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southwesterly winds, while timeanddate.com indicates 29–30°C amid cloudy skies. These align with a broader late-August cooling trend as seasonal highs decline from mid-month peaks near 32–33°C, driven by weakening subtropical high pressure and increasing Atlantic influence. Model consensus places the daily maximum firmly in the 28–30°C range, with low precipitation risk and minimal diurnal variability expected. Trader positioning favoring 29°C reflects this narrow forecast envelope and historical variability around late-summer climatology, while lower-probability tails for 31°C+ or 27°C and below account for potential model shifts in the final 48-hour updates from agencies such as AEMET or ECMWF.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$112Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather converge on a maximum of 28°C for Madrid on August 26 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light southwesterly winds, while timeanddate.com indicates 29–30°C amid cloudy skies. These align with a broader late-August cooling trend as seasonal highs decline from mid-month peaks near 32–33°C, driven by weakening subtropical high pressure and increasing Atlantic influence. Model consensus places the daily maximum firmly in the 28–30°C range, with low precipitation risk and minimal diurnal variability expected. Trader positioning favoring 29°C reflects this narrow forecast envelope and historical variability around late-summer climatology, while lower-probability tails for 31°C+ or 27°C and below account for potential model shifts in the final 48-hour updates from agencies such as AEMET or ECMWF.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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