Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate improving conditions over Shanghai with reduced cloud cover and precipitation chances on August 24 after earlier rain, supporting daytime maxima near 32°C amid typical late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns. Light southeasterly winds and moderate humidity levels around 60-80% are expected to allow standard radiative heating without significant suppression, consistent with August climatological highs near 31°C. Model consensus places the most probable peak in the 31-33°C range, though minor variations in timing or localized effects could shift the exact maximum, with updated forecasts from agencies like NOAA or ECMWF due before resolution. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 24 de agosto?
32°C 51%
31°C 32%
30°C 11%
33°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
11%
31°C
32%
32°C
51%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 51%
31°C 32%
30°C 11%
33°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
5%
30°C
$5 Vol.
11%
31°C
$71 Vol.
32%
32°C
$490 Vol.
51%
33°C
$11 Vol.
9%
34°C
$21 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate improving conditions over Shanghai with reduced cloud cover and precipitation chances on August 24 after earlier rain, supporting daytime maxima near 32°C amid typical late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns. Light southeasterly winds and moderate humidity levels around 60-80% are expected to allow standard radiative heating without significant suppression, consistent with August climatological highs near 31°C. Model consensus places the most probable peak in the 31-33°C range, though minor variations in timing or localized effects could shift the exact maximum, with updated forecasts from agencies like NOAA or ECMWF due before resolution. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$603Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate improving conditions over Shanghai with reduced cloud cover and precipitation chances on August 24 after earlier rain, supporting daytime maxima near 32°C amid typical late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns. Light southeasterly winds and moderate humidity levels around 60-80% are expected to allow standard radiative heating without significant suppression, consistent with August climatological highs near 31°C. Model consensus places the most probable peak in the 31-33°C range, though minor variations in timing or localized effects could shift the exact maximum, with updated forecasts from agencies like NOAA or ECMWF due before resolution. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$603Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate improving conditions over Shanghai with reduced cloud cover and precipitation chances on August 24 after earlier rain, supporting daytime maxima near 32°C amid typical late-summer subtropical monsoon patterns. Light southeasterly winds and moderate humidity levels around 60-80% are expected to allow standard radiative heating without significant suppression, consistent with August climatological highs near 31°C. Model consensus places the most probable peak in the 31-33°C range, though minor variations in timing or localized effects could shift the exact maximum, with updated forecasts from agencies like NOAA or ECMWF due before resolution. Trader-implied probabilities reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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