**Active southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, including frequent thunderstorms and high humidity, are the main driver behind the near-even 49.5% implied probabilities for Lucknow's August 24 minimum temperature falling at or below 21°C versus 31°C or higher.** Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall suppress nighttime radiative cooling, typically elevating minimum temperatures into the mid-20s°C range as seen in recent IMD observations (around 26–28°C) and short-term forecasts showing 78–82°F lows. At the same time, any break in rainfall or shifts in steering patterns could allow clearer skies and greater cooling, while intense convective activity might trap additional heat. Model consensus from agencies like IMD highlights this variability within the 48-hour window, with traders weighing historical August baselines against evolving precipitation outlooks for resolution criteria tied to official Lucknow observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Lucknow el 24 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Lucknow el 24 de agosto?
21°C o menos 96%
31°C o más 95%
22°C 50%
29°C 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
21°C o menos
96%
22°C
50%
23°C
26%
24°C
26%
25°C
26%
26°C
28%
27°C
28%
28°C
26%
29°C
50%
30°C
8%
31°C o más
95%
21°C o menos 96%
31°C o más 95%
22°C 50%
29°C 50%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
21°C o menos
$5 Vol.
96%
22°C
$5 Vol.
50%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$0 Vol.
26%
25°C
$0 Vol.
26%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$0 Vol.
26%
29°C
$5 Vol.
50%
30°C
$5 Vol.
8%
31°C o más
$5 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, including frequent thunderstorms and high humidity, are the main driver behind the near-even 49.5% implied probabilities for Lucknow's August 24 minimum temperature falling at or below 21°C versus 31°C or higher.** Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall suppress nighttime radiative cooling, typically elevating minimum temperatures into the mid-20s°C range as seen in recent IMD observations (around 26–28°C) and short-term forecasts showing 78–82°F lows. At the same time, any break in rainfall or shifts in steering patterns could allow clearer skies and greater cooling, while intense convective activity might trap additional heat. Model consensus from agencies like IMD highlights this variability within the 48-hour window, with traders weighing historical August baselines against evolving precipitation outlooks for resolution criteria tied to official Lucknow observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ET
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Active southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, including frequent thunderstorms and high humidity, are the main driver behind the near-even 49.5% implied probabilities for Lucknow's August 24 minimum temperature falling at or below 21°C versus 31°C or higher.** Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall suppress nighttime radiative cooling, typically elevating minimum temperatures into the mid-20s°C range as seen in recent IMD observations (around 26–28°C) and short-term forecasts showing 78–82°F lows. At the same time, any break in rainfall or shifts in steering patterns could allow clearer skies and greater cooling, while intense convective activity might trap additional heat. Model consensus from agencies like IMD highlights this variability within the 48-hour window, with traders weighing historical August baselines against evolving precipitation outlooks for resolution criteria tied to official Lucknow observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 2:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Active southwest monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, including frequent thunderstorms and high humidity, are the main driver behind the near-even 49.5% implied probabilities for Lucknow's August 24 minimum temperature falling at or below 21°C versus 31°C or higher.** Persistent cloud cover and heavy rainfall suppress nighttime radiative cooling, typically elevating minimum temperatures into the mid-20s°C range as seen in recent IMD observations (around 26–28°C) and short-term forecasts showing 78–82°F lows. At the same time, any break in rainfall or shifts in steering patterns could allow clearer skies and greater cooling, while intense convective activity might trap additional heat. Model consensus from agencies like IMD highlights this variability within the 48-hour window, with traders weighing historical August baselines against evolving precipitation outlooks for resolution criteria tied to official Lucknow observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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