Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to a peak temperature of 31–32°C on August 22 as the most probable outcome, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and urban heat retention. Light winds and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating remains strong, though scattered showers could cap extremes. The narrow spread between leading market outcomes captures model uncertainty around exact boundary-layer mixing and any localized sea-breeze effects. Updated runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 22 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 22 de agosto?
31°C 39%
32°C 29%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
39%
32°C
29%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
4%
31°C 39%
32°C 29%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
25°C or below
$202 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
2%
28°C
$25 Vol.
1%
29°C
$145 Vol.
8%
30°C
$146 Vol.
19%
31°C
$452 Vol.
39%
32°C
$304 Vol.
29%
33°C
$25 Vol.
7%
34°C
$20 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to a peak temperature of 31–32°C on August 22 as the most probable outcome, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and urban heat retention. Light winds and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating remains strong, though scattered showers could cap extremes. The narrow spread between leading market outcomes captures model uncertainty around exact boundary-layer mixing and any localized sea-breeze effects. Updated runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,470Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to a peak temperature of 31–32°C on August 22 as the most probable outcome, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and urban heat retention. Light winds and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating remains strong, though scattered showers could cap extremes. The narrow spread between leading market outcomes captures model uncertainty around exact boundary-layer mixing and any localized sea-breeze effects. Updated runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,470Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles point to a peak temperature of 31–32°C on August 22 as the most probable outcome, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and urban heat retention. Light winds and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling while daytime solar heating remains strong, though scattered showers could cap extremes. The narrow spread between leading market outcomes captures model uncertainty around exact boundary-layer mixing and any localized sea-breeze effects. Updated runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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