Short-term forecast models from regional observatories indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 22 under typical mid-August subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover. These factors differentiate the tightly bunched leading outcomes: stronger or earlier convection can enhance evaporative cooling and limit peaks to 30–31°C, while brief clearer intervals or delayed showers allow brief warming toward 33°C. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, yet interannual variability in monsoon steering and local sea-surface temperatures sustains the modest spread across adjacent bins. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against potential shifts in thunderstorm timing ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 22 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 22 de agosto?
31°C 29%
32°C 26%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
8%
30°C
12%
31°C
29%
32°C
26%
33°C
16%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
7%
31°C 29%
32°C 26%
33°C 16%
30°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
25°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$186 Vol.
2%
29°C
$101 Vol.
8%
30°C
$129 Vol.
12%
31°C
$10 Vol.
29%
32°C
$37 Vol.
26%
33°C
$29 Vol.
16%
34°C
$46 Vol.
5%
35°C or higher
$25 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from regional observatories indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 22 under typical mid-August subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover. These factors differentiate the tightly bunched leading outcomes: stronger or earlier convection can enhance evaporative cooling and limit peaks to 30–31°C, while brief clearer intervals or delayed showers allow brief warming toward 33°C. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, yet interannual variability in monsoon steering and local sea-surface temperatures sustains the modest spread across adjacent bins. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against potential shifts in thunderstorm timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$1,055Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast models from regional observatories indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 22 under typical mid-August subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover. These factors differentiate the tightly bunched leading outcomes: stronger or earlier convection can enhance evaporative cooling and limit peaks to 30–31°C, while brief clearer intervals or delayed showers allow brief warming toward 33°C. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, yet interannual variability in monsoon steering and local sea-surface temperatures sustains the modest spread across adjacent bins. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against potential shifts in thunderstorm timing ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,055Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast models from regional observatories indicate a daytime maximum near 31–32°C in Shenzhen on August 22 under typical mid-August subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity, scattered afternoon thunderstorms, and persistent cloud cover. These factors differentiate the tightly bunched leading outcomes: stronger or earlier convection can enhance evaporative cooling and limit peaks to 30–31°C, while brief clearer intervals or delayed showers allow brief warming toward 33°C. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, yet interannual variability in monsoon steering and local sea-surface temperatures sustains the modest spread across adjacent bins. Traders weigh the latest model consensus against potential shifts in thunderstorm timing ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes