Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 20, 2026, consistent with regional observations of 26–30°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and typical August humidity near 80–90%. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines around 26–27°C for the date and reflects limited overnight cooling due to high moisture and weak synoptic winds. Market-implied odds near 100% for 26°C indicate strong trader confidence in verified station data over model forecasts. A realistic challenge would require revised official readings from primary sites or unresolved discrepancies between urban and airport stations, though such revisions are rare after initial reporting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 20 de agosto?
26°C 100.0%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$49,224 Vol.
$49,224 Vol.
22°C o menos
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sí
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C o más
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C o menos <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$49,224 Vol.
$49,224 Vol.
22°C o menos
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Sí
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 20, 2026, consistent with regional observations of 26–30°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and typical August humidity near 80–90%. This outcome aligns with climatological baselines around 26–27°C for the date and reflects limited overnight cooling due to high moisture and weak synoptic winds. Market-implied odds near 100% for 26°C indicate strong trader confidence in verified station data over model forecasts. A realistic challenge would require revised official readings from primary sites or unresolved discrepancies between urban and airport stations, though such revisions are rare after initial reporting.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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