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icon for ¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 26 de agosto?

¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 26 de agosto?

icon for ¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 26 de agosto?

¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 26 de agosto?

Ended: ago 26

ago 28

ago 29

ago 30

Ended: ago 26

ago 28

ago 29

ago 30

26°C 100.0%

22°C or below <1%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

Polymarket

$51,681 Vol.

26°C 100.0%

22°C or below <1%

23°C <1%

24°C <1%

Polymarket

$51,681 Vol.

22°C or below

$233 Vol.

No

23°C

$1,757 Vol.

No

24°C

$3,094 Vol.

No

25°C

$3,464 Vol.

No

26°C

$8,089 Vol.

Yes

27°C

$2,978 Vol.

No

28°C

$2,914 Vol.

No

29°C

$3,575 Vol.

No

30°C

$9,029 Vol.

No

31°C

$9,376 Vol.

No

32°C or higher

$7,173 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 26, 2026, driving the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity from regional moisture advection prevented significant nocturnal radiative cooling, holding the overnight low at this level amid typical late-summer conditions. Historical climatology shows August minima in the mid-20s Celsius are common under similar synoptic patterns. A data revision during quality control or use of an alternate station measurement could theoretically shift the recorded value, though such adjustments are infrequent for temperature records once preliminary figures are released.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$51,681
Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory established a daily minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 26, 2026, driving the market's near-certain implied probability on that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, heavy rainfall, and elevated humidity from regional moisture advection prevented significant nocturnal radiative cooling, holding the overnight low at this level amid typical late-summer conditions. Historical climatology shows August minima in the mid-20s Celsius are common under similar synoptic patterns. A data revision during quality control or use of an alternate station measurement could theoretically shift the recorded value, though such adjustments are infrequent for temperature records once preliminary figures are released.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$51,681
Fecha de finalización
26 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Relacionado

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 26 de agosto?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 11 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "26°C" con 100%, seguido de "22°C or below" con 0%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 100¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 26 de agosto?" ha generado $51.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Aug 24, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 26 de agosto?", explora los 11 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 26 de agosto?" es "26°C" con 100%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 100% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "22°C or below" con 0%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 26 de agosto?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.