Recent MetService and international model guidance (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a northerly flow will deliver milder maritime air to Wellington on August 28, supporting a daytime maximum near 14°C amid cloudy skies and showers. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (63.5%) and 16°C (20.5%), as ensemble spreads and local observations from late August show temperatures running slightly above the long-term 13°C average high. Strong winds and frontal timing introduce modest uncertainty, keeping lower outcomes (14°C at 9.5%) viable if cooler southerlies arrive earlier than expected. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 28 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 28 de agosto?
15°C 63%
16°C 21%
14°C 10%
17°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 ago 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
10%
15°C
63%
16°C
21%
17°C
4%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
15°C 63%
16°C 21%
14°C 10%
17°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
28 ago 2026
10°C or below
$9 Vol.
1%
11°C
$5 Vol.
1%
12°C
$7 Vol.
1%
13°C
$79 Vol.
2%
14°C
$563 Vol.
10%
15°C
$122 Vol.
63%
16°C
$21 Vol.
21%
17°C
$114 Vol.
4%
18°C
$85 Vol.
2%
19°C
$54 Vol.
1%
20°C or higher
$41 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model guidance (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a northerly flow will deliver milder maritime air to Wellington on August 28, supporting a daytime maximum near 14°C amid cloudy skies and showers. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (63.5%) and 16°C (20.5%), as ensemble spreads and local observations from late August show temperatures running slightly above the long-term 13°C average high. Strong winds and frontal timing introduce modest uncertainty, keeping lower outcomes (14°C at 9.5%) viable if cooler southerlies arrive earlier than expected. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,099Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and international model guidance (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a northerly flow will deliver milder maritime air to Wellington on August 28, supporting a daytime maximum near 14°C amid cloudy skies and showers. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (63.5%) and 16°C (20.5%), as ensemble spreads and local observations from late August show temperatures running slightly above the long-term 13°C average high. Strong winds and frontal timing introduce modest uncertainty, keeping lower outcomes (14°C at 9.5%) viable if cooler southerlies arrive earlier than expected. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,099Fecha de finalización
28 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and international model guidance (ECMWF, GFS) indicate a northerly flow will deliver milder maritime air to Wellington on August 28, supporting a daytime maximum near 14°C amid cloudy skies and showers. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 15°C (63.5%) and 16°C (20.5%), as ensemble spreads and local observations from late August show temperatures running slightly above the long-term 13°C average high. Strong winds and frontal timing introduce modest uncertainty, keeping lower outcomes (14°C at 9.5%) viable if cooler southerlies arrive earlier than expected. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact peak.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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