Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a daytime high near 13–14°C for Wellington on August 27, consistent with the post-Antarctic-blast warming trend and near-average winter conditions. A high-pressure ridge has replaced the earlier cold southerly flow, allowing milder northerly or westerly winds to moderate temperatures while limiting cloud cover and precipitation. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, with historical August maxima typically ranging 12–15°C. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around this central value, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of any residual frontal passage could nudge the peak by 1°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 27 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 27 de agosto?
14°C 53%
13°C 29%
15°C 9%
12°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
29%
14°C
53%
15°C
9%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 53%
13°C 29%
15°C 9%
12°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
8°C or below
$536 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$215 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$361 Vol.
1%
11°C
$74 Vol.
1%
12°C
$336 Vol.
4%
13°C
$1,053 Vol.
29%
14°C
$1,633 Vol.
53%
15°C
$1,273 Vol.
9%
16°C
$67 Vol.
3%
17°C
$135 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$273 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a daytime high near 13–14°C for Wellington on August 27, consistent with the post-Antarctic-blast warming trend and near-average winter conditions. A high-pressure ridge has replaced the earlier cold southerly flow, allowing milder northerly or westerly winds to moderate temperatures while limiting cloud cover and precipitation. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, with historical August maxima typically ranging 12–15°C. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around this central value, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of any residual frontal passage could nudge the peak by 1°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,955Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a daytime high near 13–14°C for Wellington on August 27, consistent with the post-Antarctic-blast warming trend and near-average winter conditions. A high-pressure ridge has replaced the earlier cold southerly flow, allowing milder northerly or westerly winds to moderate temperatures while limiting cloud cover and precipitation. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, with historical August maxima typically ranging 12–15°C. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around this central value, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of any residual frontal passage could nudge the peak by 1°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,955Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from MetService and international models indicate a daytime high near 13–14°C for Wellington on August 27, consistent with the post-Antarctic-blast warming trend and near-average winter conditions. A high-pressure ridge has replaced the earlier cold southerly flow, allowing milder northerly or westerly winds to moderate temperatures while limiting cloud cover and precipitation. NIWA’s seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures for the Wellington region, with historical August maxima typically ranging 12–15°C. Ensemble guidance shows low spread around this central value, though minor shifts in wind direction or timing of any residual frontal passage could nudge the peak by 1°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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