Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC place Istanbul’s August 27 maximum near 27–30 °C, aligning with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where average highs hover around 28 °C. Persistent north-easterly flow off the Black Sea supplies marine cooling that frequently caps peaks at or below 28 °C, while mostly sunny conditions and light winds support the 27 °C outcome currently favored by traders at 48.5 % implied probability. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability, with any increase in cloud cover or stronger sea breeze likely to keep readings from reaching 29 °C or higher. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 27 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 27 de agosto?
27°C 49%
28°C 32%
29°C 12%
26°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
23°C or below
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
6%
26°C
11%
27°C
49%
28°C
32%
29°C
12%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 49%
28°C 32%
29°C 12%
26°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
23°C or below
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C
$0 Vol.
2%
25°C
$0 Vol.
6%
26°C
$27 Vol.
11%
27°C
$125 Vol.
49%
28°C
$16 Vol.
32%
29°C
$0 Vol.
12%
30°C
$0 Vol.
1%
31°C
$0 Vol.
1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$11 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC place Istanbul’s August 27 maximum near 27–30 °C, aligning with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where average highs hover around 28 °C. Persistent north-easterly flow off the Black Sea supplies marine cooling that frequently caps peaks at or below 28 °C, while mostly sunny conditions and light winds support the 27 °C outcome currently favored by traders at 48.5 % implied probability. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability, with any increase in cloud cover or stronger sea breeze likely to keep readings from reaching 29 °C or higher. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$178Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC place Istanbul’s August 27 maximum near 27–30 °C, aligning with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where average highs hover around 28 °C. Persistent north-easterly flow off the Black Sea supplies marine cooling that frequently caps peaks at or below 28 °C, while mostly sunny conditions and light winds support the 27 °C outcome currently favored by traders at 48.5 % implied probability. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability, with any increase in cloud cover or stronger sea breeze likely to keep readings from reaching 29 °C or higher. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$178Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Met Office and BBC place Istanbul’s August 27 maximum near 27–30 °C, aligning with late-summer Mediterranean climatology where average highs hover around 28 °C. Persistent north-easterly flow off the Black Sea supplies marine cooling that frequently caps peaks at or below 28 °C, while mostly sunny conditions and light winds support the 27 °C outcome currently favored by traders at 48.5 % implied probability. Model consensus shows only modest day-to-day variability, with any increase in cloud cover or stronger sea breeze likely to keep readings from reaching 29 °C or higher. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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