Current numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a moderating maritime air mass over northern France as the main driver behind trader consensus favoring a 27°C high in Paris on August 25. Recent Météo-France guidance and ECMWF runs show a transition from post-heatwave conditions, with partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and limited afternoon heating keeping maxima in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius. Key variables include the exact timing of any weak Atlantic front, boundary-layer moisture, and cloud cover that could trim or boost peak temperatures by 2–3°C. Model spread remains wide two days out, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in steering patterns and surface energy balance, with fresh updates expected from official agencies before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 25 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 25 de agosto?
27°C 34%
28°C 19%
26°C 18%
29°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
8%
26°C
28%
27°C
34%
28°C
19%
29°C
9%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
3%
27°C 34%
28°C 19%
26°C 18%
29°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
25 ago 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$8 Vol.
2%
24°C
$15 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
8%
26°C
$112 Vol.
28%
27°C
$197 Vol.
34%
28°C
$18 Vol.
19%
29°C
$67 Vol.
9%
30°C
$44 Vol.
5%
31°C
$5 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a moderating maritime air mass over northern France as the main driver behind trader consensus favoring a 27°C high in Paris on August 25. Recent Météo-France guidance and ECMWF runs show a transition from post-heatwave conditions, with partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and limited afternoon heating keeping maxima in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius. Key variables include the exact timing of any weak Atlantic front, boundary-layer moisture, and cloud cover that could trim or boost peak temperatures by 2–3°C. Model spread remains wide two days out, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in steering patterns and surface energy balance, with fresh updates expected from official agencies before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$476Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a moderating maritime air mass over northern France as the main driver behind trader consensus favoring a 27°C high in Paris on August 25. Recent Météo-France guidance and ECMWF runs show a transition from post-heatwave conditions, with partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and limited afternoon heating keeping maxima in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius. Key variables include the exact timing of any weak Atlantic front, boundary-layer moisture, and cloud cover that could trim or boost peak temperatures by 2–3°C. Model spread remains wide two days out, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in steering patterns and surface energy balance, with fresh updates expected from official agencies before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$476Fecha de finalización
25 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction ensembles point to a moderating maritime air mass over northern France as the main driver behind trader consensus favoring a 27°C high in Paris on August 25. Recent Météo-France guidance and ECMWF runs show a transition from post-heatwave conditions, with partly cloudy skies, light westerly flow, and limited afternoon heating keeping maxima in the mid- to upper-20s Celsius. Key variables include the exact timing of any weak Atlantic front, boundary-layer moisture, and cloud cover that could trim or boost peak temperatures by 2–3°C. Model spread remains wide two days out, reflecting typical short-range uncertainty in steering patterns and surface energy balance, with fresh updates expected from official agencies before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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