Forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF places Chengdu’s August 23 high near 32–33 °C, with some runs reaching 34 °C under partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. High humidity (70–80 %) and light steering winds typical of the Sichuan Basin limit strong daytime heating while favoring convective clouds that can suppress peak temperatures. Recent 10-day outlooks from PredictWind, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological sources consistently show 32–33 °C maxima amid 50–70 % rain chances, aligning with the market’s leading 32 °C probability. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours, plus any shift in monsoon moisture or upper-level ridging, will determine whether the day trends toward 31 °C or briefly touches 34 °C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 23 de agosto?
32°C 22%
34°C 18%
33°C 15%
31°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
27°C or below
4%
28°C
9%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
10%
32°C
22%
33°C
15%
34°C
18%
35°C
7%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
3%
32°C 22%
34°C 18%
33°C 15%
31°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
27°C or below
$5 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
9%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
7%
31°C
$0 Vol.
10%
32°C
$0 Vol.
22%
33°C
$24 Vol.
15%
34°C
$6 Vol.
18%
35°C
$0 Vol.
7%
36°C
$5 Vol.
7%
37°C or higher
$20 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF places Chengdu’s August 23 high near 32–33 °C, with some runs reaching 34 °C under partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. High humidity (70–80 %) and light steering winds typical of the Sichuan Basin limit strong daytime heating while favoring convective clouds that can suppress peak temperatures. Recent 10-day outlooks from PredictWind, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological sources consistently show 32–33 °C maxima amid 50–70 % rain chances, aligning with the market’s leading 32 °C probability. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours, plus any shift in monsoon moisture or upper-level ridging, will determine whether the day trends toward 31 °C or briefly touches 34 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$59Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF places Chengdu’s August 23 high near 32–33 °C, with some runs reaching 34 °C under partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. High humidity (70–80 %) and light steering winds typical of the Sichuan Basin limit strong daytime heating while favoring convective clouds that can suppress peak temperatures. Recent 10-day outlooks from PredictWind, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological sources consistently show 32–33 °C maxima amid 50–70 % rain chances, aligning with the market’s leading 32 °C probability. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours, plus any shift in monsoon moisture or upper-level ridging, will determine whether the day trends toward 31 °C or briefly touches 34 °C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$59Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF places Chengdu’s August 23 high near 32–33 °C, with some runs reaching 34 °C under partly cloudy skies and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. High humidity (70–80 %) and light steering winds typical of the Sichuan Basin limit strong daytime heating while favoring convective clouds that can suppress peak temperatures. Recent 10-day outlooks from PredictWind, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological sources consistently show 32–33 °C maxima amid 50–70 % rain chances, aligning with the market’s leading 32 °C probability. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours, plus any shift in monsoon moisture or upper-level ridging, will determine whether the day trends toward 31 °C or briefly touches 34 °C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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