Recent forecast model consensus, including runs aligned with National Meteorological Service guidance, points to a daytime high near 21°C in Munich on August 21 under moderate atmospheric conditions and a cooling late-summer pattern. This aligns with the market-implied 35.5% probability for 21°C and supports the next tier at 22°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow around seasonal averages of 22–24°C. Recent observational trends show limited heat advection and possible increased cloud cover or northerly flow, keeping extremes below 24°C unlikely at 7.5%. Traders weigh these factors against typical model uncertainty in the 48-hour window before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 21 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 21 de agosto?
21°C 49%
22°C 20%
23°C 16%
20°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
13%
21°C
36%
22°C
20%
23°C
16%
24°C or higher
8%
21°C 49%
22°C 20%
23°C 16%
20°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
14°C or below
$433 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$439 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$389 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,093 Vol.
1%
18°C
$15 Vol.
2%
19°C
$6 Vol.
7%
20°C
$0 Vol.
13%
21°C
$59 Vol.
36%
22°C
$143 Vol.
20%
23°C
$91 Vol.
16%
24°C or higher
$365 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus, including runs aligned with National Meteorological Service guidance, points to a daytime high near 21°C in Munich on August 21 under moderate atmospheric conditions and a cooling late-summer pattern. This aligns with the market-implied 35.5% probability for 21°C and supports the next tier at 22°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow around seasonal averages of 22–24°C. Recent observational trends show limited heat advection and possible increased cloud cover or northerly flow, keeping extremes below 24°C unlikely at 7.5%. Traders weigh these factors against typical model uncertainty in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$4,034Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus, including runs aligned with National Meteorological Service guidance, points to a daytime high near 21°C in Munich on August 21 under moderate atmospheric conditions and a cooling late-summer pattern. This aligns with the market-implied 35.5% probability for 21°C and supports the next tier at 22°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow around seasonal averages of 22–24°C. Recent observational trends show limited heat advection and possible increased cloud cover or northerly flow, keeping extremes below 24°C unlikely at 7.5%. Traders weigh these factors against typical model uncertainty in the 48-hour window before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,034Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus, including runs aligned with National Meteorological Service guidance, points to a daytime high near 21°C in Munich on August 21 under moderate atmospheric conditions and a cooling late-summer pattern. This aligns with the market-implied 35.5% probability for 21°C and supports the next tier at 22°C, as ensemble spreads remain narrow around seasonal averages of 22–24°C. Recent observational trends show limited heat advection and possible increased cloud cover or northerly flow, keeping extremes below 24°C unlikely at 7.5%. Traders weigh these factors against typical model uncertainty in the 48-hour window before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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