Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Munich’s maximum temperature on August 19 near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 33.5 % and 26.5 %. This range reflects a stable summer high-pressure regime allowing diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, tempered by modest westerly flow that limits extreme warmth. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave 1–2 °C off the peak or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 29 °C. Historical August climatology for the region centers on 23–25 °C highs, so current guidance represents modestly above-average conditions driven by recent upstream ridging. Updated 12z and 18z model runs through tomorrow will further tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 19 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 19 de agosto?
27°C 34%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
24°C or below
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
19%
27°C
34%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C
5%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
27°C 34%
28°C 27%
26°C 19%
29°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
24°C or below
$143 Vol.
2%
25°C
$81 Vol.
4%
26°C
$112 Vol.
19%
27°C
$480 Vol.
34%
28°C
$38 Vol.
27%
29°C
$609 Vol.
11%
30°C
$322 Vol.
5%
31°C
$23 Vol.
2%
32°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$261 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Munich’s maximum temperature on August 19 near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 33.5 % and 26.5 %. This range reflects a stable summer high-pressure regime allowing diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, tempered by modest westerly flow that limits extreme warmth. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave 1–2 °C off the peak or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 29 °C. Historical August climatology for the region centers on 23–25 °C highs, so current guidance represents modestly above-average conditions driven by recent upstream ridging. Updated 12z and 18z model runs through tomorrow will further tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,304Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Munich’s maximum temperature on August 19 near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 33.5 % and 26.5 %. This range reflects a stable summer high-pressure regime allowing diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, tempered by modest westerly flow that limits extreme warmth. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave 1–2 °C off the peak or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 29 °C. Historical August climatology for the region centers on 23–25 °C highs, so current guidance represents modestly above-average conditions driven by recent upstream ridging. Updated 12z and 18z model runs through tomorrow will further tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,304Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS place Munich’s maximum temperature on August 19 near 27–28 °C, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities of 33.5 % and 26.5 %. This range reflects a stable summer high-pressure regime allowing diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies, tempered by modest westerly flow that limits extreme warmth. Model spread arises mainly from differences in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage, which could shave 1–2 °C off the peak or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 29 °C. Historical August climatology for the region centers on 23–25 °C highs, so current guidance represents modestly above-average conditions driven by recent upstream ridging. Updated 12z and 18z model runs through tomorrow will further tighten the distribution ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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