Recent short-range forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over the North Sea moderating temperatures in Amsterdam for August 19, supporting daily maxima centered on 20–22°C. This aligns with climatological averages for late summer, where daytime highs typically range 19–23°C amid variable Atlantic airflow, with limited potential for stronger warming or cooling under current ensemble guidance. Trader consensus, reflected in the 75% combined probability on 21°C and 22°C outcomes, incorporates these model runs and historical analogs while accounting for inherent forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and cloud cover. Updated guidance expected from national services in the next 24–48 hours could refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 19 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 19 de agosto?
21°C 46%
22°C 31%
20°C 18%
23°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
18%
21°C
46%
22°C
31%
23°C
5%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C o más
<1%
21°C 46%
22°C 31%
20°C 18%
23°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
16°C o menos
$208 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$299 Vol.
1%
18°C
$381 Vol.
2%
19°C
$699 Vol.
4%
20°C
$519 Vol.
18%
21°C
$740 Vol.
46%
22°C
$1,299 Vol.
31%
23°C
$415 Vol.
5%
24°C
$260 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$227 Vol.
<1%
26°C o más
$88 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over the North Sea moderating temperatures in Amsterdam for August 19, supporting daily maxima centered on 20–22°C. This aligns with climatological averages for late summer, where daytime highs typically range 19–23°C amid variable Atlantic airflow, with limited potential for stronger warming or cooling under current ensemble guidance. Trader consensus, reflected in the 75% combined probability on 21°C and 22°C outcomes, incorporates these model runs and historical analogs while accounting for inherent forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and cloud cover. Updated guidance expected from national services in the next 24–48 hours could refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$5,133Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over the North Sea moderating temperatures in Amsterdam for August 19, supporting daily maxima centered on 20–22°C. This aligns with climatological averages for late summer, where daytime highs typically range 19–23°C amid variable Atlantic airflow, with limited potential for stronger warming or cooling under current ensemble guidance. Trader consensus, reflected in the 75% combined probability on 21°C and 22°C outcomes, incorporates these model runs and historical analogs while accounting for inherent forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and cloud cover. Updated guidance expected from national services in the next 24–48 hours could refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,133Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models from European meteorological agencies indicate a stable high-pressure system over the North Sea moderating temperatures in Amsterdam for August 19, supporting daily maxima centered on 20–22°C. This aligns with climatological averages for late summer, where daytime highs typically range 19–23°C amid variable Atlantic airflow, with limited potential for stronger warming or cooling under current ensemble guidance. Trader consensus, reflected in the 75% combined probability on 21°C and 22°C outcomes, incorporates these model runs and historical analogs while accounting for inherent forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer conditions and cloud cover. Updated guidance expected from national services in the next 24–48 hours could refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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