Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high near 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 19, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 35°C (44%) and 36°C (25.5%). Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces August maxima of 35–39°C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong solar heating; however, model consensus shows potential thundershowers and increased humidity on the 19th that could limit peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and partial cloud cover. Recent short-range guidance has stabilized around these values with low day-to-day volatility, though any shift in steering patterns or rainfall timing could adjust the final observed maximum. Traders are weighting the historical August baseline and latest model runs accordingly as resolution approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 19 de agosto?
35°C 45%
36°C 26%
34°C 19%
33°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
19%
35°C
45%
36°C
26%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 45%
36°C 26%
34°C 19%
33°C 5%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
5%
34°C
19%
35°C
45%
36°C
26%
37°C
4%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate a daytime high near 34–35°C in Wuhan on August 19, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 35°C (44%) and 36°C (25.5%). Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate typically produces August maxima of 35–39°C under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high, which promotes subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and strong solar heating; however, model consensus shows potential thundershowers and increased humidity on the 19th that could limit peak temperatures through evaporative cooling and partial cloud cover. Recent short-range guidance has stabilized around these values with low day-to-day volatility, though any shift in steering patterns or rainfall timing could adjust the final observed maximum. Traders are weighting the historical August baseline and latest model runs accordingly as resolution approaches.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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