Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF indicate a likely daily maximum of 35–36 °C in Madrid on 19 August under a stable subtropical ridge, with mostly sunny skies and light winds limiting cooling. Ensemble spreads and local urban-heat effects create the narrow 1 °C uncertainty captured by the closely matched market probabilities for 35 °C and 36 °C. Recent observations show Madrid daytime highs already reaching 34–37 °C, consistent with climatological August norms yet sensitive to small changes in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak insolation. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 19 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 19 de agosto?
36°C 37%
35°C 27%
37°C 20%
34°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
3%
34°C
10%
35°C
27%
36°C
37%
37°C
20%
38°C
5%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 27%
37°C 20%
34°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
32°C or below
$341 Vol.
1%
33°C
$211 Vol.
3%
34°C
$173 Vol.
10%
35°C
$377 Vol.
27%
36°C
$2,436 Vol.
37%
37°C
$651 Vol.
20%
38°C
$320 Vol.
5%
39°C
$187 Vol.
1%
40°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
42°C or higher
$114 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF indicate a likely daily maximum of 35–36 °C in Madrid on 19 August under a stable subtropical ridge, with mostly sunny skies and light winds limiting cooling. Ensemble spreads and local urban-heat effects create the narrow 1 °C uncertainty captured by the closely matched market probabilities for 35 °C and 36 °C. Recent observations show Madrid daytime highs already reaching 34–37 °C, consistent with climatological August norms yet sensitive to small changes in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak insolation. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$4,928Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF indicate a likely daily maximum of 35–36 °C in Madrid on 19 August under a stable subtropical ridge, with mostly sunny skies and light winds limiting cooling. Ensemble spreads and local urban-heat effects create the narrow 1 °C uncertainty captured by the closely matched market probabilities for 35 °C and 36 °C. Recent observations show Madrid daytime highs already reaching 34–37 °C, consistent with climatological August norms yet sensitive to small changes in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak insolation. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$4,928Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including AEMET and ECMWF indicate a likely daily maximum of 35–36 °C in Madrid on 19 August under a stable subtropical ridge, with mostly sunny skies and light winds limiting cooling. Ensemble spreads and local urban-heat effects create the narrow 1 °C uncertainty captured by the closely matched market probabilities for 35 °C and 36 °C. Recent observations show Madrid daytime highs already reaching 34–37 °C, consistent with climatological August norms yet sensitive to small changes in boundary-layer moisture or timing of peak insolation. Updated model runs and official AEMET guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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