Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather place Shenzhen's August 19 high near 32–34°C, aligning with the market's tight 32°C–33°C lead driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions. Subtropical humidity above 75% and variable cloud cover from lingering moisture after Typhoon Dolphin’s early-August passage can suppress daytime peaks by 1–2°C, while clear spells allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Urban heat-island effects in Shenzhen amplify maxima relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus remains modest given the two-day horizon and potential for afternoon thunderstorms. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, with extremes above 35°C rare absent strong high-pressure ridging. Traders are weighting the latest CMA and global ensemble runs, which will update before resolution on official observatory data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 19 de agosto?
32°C 31%
33°C 28%
34°C 16%
31°C 13%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
31%
33°C
28%
34°C
16%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 31%
33°C 28%
34°C 16%
31°C 13%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
13%
32°C
31%
33°C
28%
34°C
16%
35°C
5%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like the Met Office and AccuWeather place Shenzhen's August 19 high near 32–34°C, aligning with the market's tight 32°C–33°C lead driven by typical late-summer monsoon conditions. Subtropical humidity above 75% and variable cloud cover from lingering moisture after Typhoon Dolphin’s early-August passage can suppress daytime peaks by 1–2°C, while clear spells allow brief spikes toward 34°C. Urban heat-island effects in Shenzhen amplify maxima relative to rural baselines, yet model consensus remains modest given the two-day horizon and potential for afternoon thunderstorms. Historical August averages hover near 32°C, with extremes above 35°C rare absent strong high-pressure ridging. Traders are weighting the latest CMA and global ensemble runs, which will update before resolution on official observatory data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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